Prediction of the start of next recession using latent factors

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Prediction of the start of next recession using latent factors

The data on the binary recession variable and the latent factors extracted from a large set of economic variables are fitted with a multivariate power-normal distribution. A conditional distribution for the recession variable is obtained from the fitted multivariate distribution. The results based...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors:	Pooi, Ah Hin , Soo, Huei Ching , Pan, Wei Yeing
Format:	Article
Language:	English
Published:	AIP Publishing 2016
Subjects:	HA Statistics HB Economic Theory
Online Access:	http://eprints.sunway.edu.my/435/ http://eprints.sunway.edu.my/435/1/Pooi%20Ah%20Hin%206.pdf

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