Prediction of the start of next recession using latent factors

The data on the binary recession variable and the latent factors extracted from a large set of economic variables are fitted with a multivariate power-normal distribution. A conditional distribution for the recession variable is obtained from the fitted multivariate distribution. The results based...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Pooi, Ah Hin *, Soo, Huei Ching *, Pan, Wei Yeing
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIP Publishing 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.sunway.edu.my/435/
http://eprints.sunway.edu.my/435/1/Pooi%20Ah%20Hin%206.pdf