Prediction of the start of next recession

The future value of the binary recession variable is modeled to be dependent on the present and past values of a set of m US economic variables selected from a pool of 14 variables via a conditional distribution which is derived from an -dimensional power-normal distribution. The mean together with...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Pooi, Ah Hin *, Koh, You Beng
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Billion Brains 2016
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.sunway.edu.my/431/
http://eprints.sunway.edu.my/431/1/Pooi%20Ah%20Hin%20Prediction%20of%20the%20start%20of%20next%20recession.pdf