Responsiveness of Monetary Policy to Economic Uncertainty: Evidence from the ASEAN-5 Plus 3 Countries

A notable feature of empirical research on the monetary policy rule is that not many studies rely on the responsiveness of the monetary policy to the goals of the central bank. Policy responsiveness aligns with the appropriate relative weights placed on the goals following their priority. To over...

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Main Authors: Lim, Ee-Vern, Gan, Pei-Tha, Azila, Abdul Razak, Awadh Ahmed, Mohammed Gamal
Format: Article
Language:English
English
Published: INTI International University
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/2001/
http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/2001/1/jobss2024_06.pdf
http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/2001/2/539
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author Lim, Ee-Vern
Gan, Pei-Tha
Azila, Abdul Razak
Awadh Ahmed, Mohammed Gamal
author_facet Lim, Ee-Vern
Gan, Pei-Tha
Azila, Abdul Razak
Awadh Ahmed, Mohammed Gamal
author_sort Lim, Ee-Vern
building INTI Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description A notable feature of empirical research on the monetary policy rule is that not many studies rely on the responsiveness of the monetary policy to the goals of the central bank. Policy responsiveness aligns with the appropriate relative weights placed on the goals following their priority. To overcome this shortcoming, this study uses open economy Taylor rule in economic uncertainty and examines its empirical validity based on a sample of ASEAN five plus three countries, including Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, South Korea, Japan, and China. By employing the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model, this study examines the long-run and the short-run relationships between economic uncertainty (i.e. output uncertainty, inflation rate uncertainty, and exchange rate uncertainty) and monetary policy. Additionally, this study examines the responsiveness of monetary policy in economic uncertainty for goal-based performance measures. The findings provide some policy implications; (i) both in the long run and/or short run, the central bank should consider the policy variables (namely, output, inflation rate, and the exchange rate) underlying the premise of unforeseen future economic events in its monetary policy decision makings for the best economic outcomes, and (ii) the responsiveness of monetary policy to the central bank’s goals can serve as a benchmark (namely, the size of the weights in policy rule) in aligning smooth movements of the policy rate.
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spelling intimal-20012024-10-25T02:09:37Z http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/2001/ Responsiveness of Monetary Policy to Economic Uncertainty: Evidence from the ASEAN-5 Plus 3 Countries Lim, Ee-Vern Gan, Pei-Tha Azila, Abdul Razak Awadh Ahmed, Mohammed Gamal H Social Sciences (General) HF Commerce HG Finance A notable feature of empirical research on the monetary policy rule is that not many studies rely on the responsiveness of the monetary policy to the goals of the central bank. Policy responsiveness aligns with the appropriate relative weights placed on the goals following their priority. To overcome this shortcoming, this study uses open economy Taylor rule in economic uncertainty and examines its empirical validity based on a sample of ASEAN five plus three countries, including Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, South Korea, Japan, and China. By employing the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) model, this study examines the long-run and the short-run relationships between economic uncertainty (i.e. output uncertainty, inflation rate uncertainty, and exchange rate uncertainty) and monetary policy. Additionally, this study examines the responsiveness of monetary policy in economic uncertainty for goal-based performance measures. The findings provide some policy implications; (i) both in the long run and/or short run, the central bank should consider the policy variables (namely, output, inflation rate, and the exchange rate) underlying the premise of unforeseen future economic events in its monetary policy decision makings for the best economic outcomes, and (ii) the responsiveness of monetary policy to the central bank’s goals can serve as a benchmark (namely, the size of the weights in policy rule) in aligning smooth movements of the policy rate. INTI International University Article PeerReviewed text en http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/2001/1/jobss2024_06.pdf text en cc_by_4 http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/2001/2/539 Lim, Ee-Vern and Gan, Pei-Tha and Azila, Abdul Razak and Awadh Ahmed, Mohammed Gamal Responsiveness of Monetary Policy to Economic Uncertainty: Evidence from the ASEAN-5 Plus 3 Countries. Journal of Business and Social Sciences, 2024 (06). pp. 1-17. ISSN 2805-5187 http://ipublishing.intimal.edu.my/jobss.html https://doi.org/10.61453/jobss.v2024no06
spellingShingle H Social Sciences (General)
HF Commerce
HG Finance
Lim, Ee-Vern
Gan, Pei-Tha
Azila, Abdul Razak
Awadh Ahmed, Mohammed Gamal
Responsiveness of Monetary Policy to Economic Uncertainty: Evidence from the ASEAN-5 Plus 3 Countries
title Responsiveness of Monetary Policy to Economic Uncertainty: Evidence from the ASEAN-5 Plus 3 Countries
title_full Responsiveness of Monetary Policy to Economic Uncertainty: Evidence from the ASEAN-5 Plus 3 Countries
title_fullStr Responsiveness of Monetary Policy to Economic Uncertainty: Evidence from the ASEAN-5 Plus 3 Countries
title_full_unstemmed Responsiveness of Monetary Policy to Economic Uncertainty: Evidence from the ASEAN-5 Plus 3 Countries
title_short Responsiveness of Monetary Policy to Economic Uncertainty: Evidence from the ASEAN-5 Plus 3 Countries
title_sort responsiveness of monetary policy to economic uncertainty: evidence from the asean-5 plus 3 countries
topic H Social Sciences (General)
HF Commerce
HG Finance
url http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/2001/
http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/2001/
http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/2001/
http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/2001/1/jobss2024_06.pdf
http://eprints.intimal.edu.my/2001/2/539