On the use of Bayesian decision theory for issuing natural hazard warnings

Warnings for natural hazards improve societal resilience and are a good example of decision-making under uncertainty. A warning system is only useful if well defined and thus understood by stakeholders. However, most operational warning systems are heuristic: not formally or transparently defined. B...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Economou, T., Stephenson, D. B., Rougier, J. C., Neal, R. A., Mylne, K. R.
Format: Online
Language:English
Published: The Royal Society 2016
Online Access:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC5095440/