Bayesian Analysis of Individual Level Personality Dynamics

A Bayesian technique with analyses of within-person processes at the level of the individual is presented. The approach is used to examine whether the patterns of within-person responses on a 12-trial simulation task are consistent with the predictions of ITA theory (Dweck, 1999). ITA theory states...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Cripps, Edward, Wood, Robert E., Beckmann, Nadin, Lau, John, Beckmann, Jens F., Cripps, Sally Ann
Format: Online
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2016
Online Access:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4949490/
id pubmed-4949490
recordtype oai_dc
spelling pubmed-49494902016-08-02 Bayesian Analysis of Individual Level Personality Dynamics Cripps, Edward Wood, Robert E. Beckmann, Nadin Lau, John Beckmann, Jens F. Cripps, Sally Ann Psychology A Bayesian technique with analyses of within-person processes at the level of the individual is presented. The approach is used to examine whether the patterns of within-person responses on a 12-trial simulation task are consistent with the predictions of ITA theory (Dweck, 1999). ITA theory states that the performance of an individual with an entity theory of ability is more likely to spiral down following a failure experience than the performance of an individual with an incremental theory of ability. This is because entity theorists interpret failure experiences as evidence of a lack of ability which they believe is largely innate and therefore relatively fixed; whilst incremental theorists believe in the malleability of abilities and interpret failure experiences as evidence of more controllable factors such as poor strategy or lack of effort. The results of our analyses support ITA theory at both the within- and between-person levels of analyses and demonstrate the benefits of Bayesian techniques for the analysis of within-person processes. These include more formal specification of the theory and the ability to draw inferences about each individual, which allows for more nuanced interpretations of individuals within a personality category, such as differences in the individual probabilities of spiraling. While Bayesian techniques have many potential advantages for the analyses of processes at the level of the individual, ease of use is not one of them for psychologists trained in traditional frequentist statistical techniques. Frontiers Media S.A. 2016-07-19 /pmc/articles/PMC4949490/ /pubmed/27486415 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpsyg.2016.01065 Text en Copyright © 2016 Cripps, Wood, Beckmann, Lau, Beckmann and Cripps. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
repository_type Open Access Journal
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution US National Center for Biotechnology Information
building NCBI PubMed
collection Online Access
language English
format Online
author Cripps, Edward
Wood, Robert E.
Beckmann, Nadin
Lau, John
Beckmann, Jens F.
Cripps, Sally Ann
spellingShingle Cripps, Edward
Wood, Robert E.
Beckmann, Nadin
Lau, John
Beckmann, Jens F.
Cripps, Sally Ann
Bayesian Analysis of Individual Level Personality Dynamics
author_facet Cripps, Edward
Wood, Robert E.
Beckmann, Nadin
Lau, John
Beckmann, Jens F.
Cripps, Sally Ann
author_sort Cripps, Edward
title Bayesian Analysis of Individual Level Personality Dynamics
title_short Bayesian Analysis of Individual Level Personality Dynamics
title_full Bayesian Analysis of Individual Level Personality Dynamics
title_fullStr Bayesian Analysis of Individual Level Personality Dynamics
title_full_unstemmed Bayesian Analysis of Individual Level Personality Dynamics
title_sort bayesian analysis of individual level personality dynamics
description A Bayesian technique with analyses of within-person processes at the level of the individual is presented. The approach is used to examine whether the patterns of within-person responses on a 12-trial simulation task are consistent with the predictions of ITA theory (Dweck, 1999). ITA theory states that the performance of an individual with an entity theory of ability is more likely to spiral down following a failure experience than the performance of an individual with an incremental theory of ability. This is because entity theorists interpret failure experiences as evidence of a lack of ability which they believe is largely innate and therefore relatively fixed; whilst incremental theorists believe in the malleability of abilities and interpret failure experiences as evidence of more controllable factors such as poor strategy or lack of effort. The results of our analyses support ITA theory at both the within- and between-person levels of analyses and demonstrate the benefits of Bayesian techniques for the analysis of within-person processes. These include more formal specification of the theory and the ability to draw inferences about each individual, which allows for more nuanced interpretations of individuals within a personality category, such as differences in the individual probabilities of spiraling. While Bayesian techniques have many potential advantages for the analyses of processes at the level of the individual, ease of use is not one of them for psychologists trained in traditional frequentist statistical techniques.
publisher Frontiers Media S.A.
publishDate 2016
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4949490/
_version_ 1613611235427745792