Eliminating bovine tuberculosis in cattle and badgers: insight from a dynamic model

Bovine tuberculosis (BTB) is a multi-species infection that commonly affects cattle and badgers in Great Britain. Despite years of study, the impact of badgers on BTB incidence in cattle is poorly understood. Using a two-host transmission model of BTB in cattle and badgers, we find that published da...

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Main Authors: Brooks-Pollock, Ellen, Wood, James L. N.
Format: Online
Language:English
Published: The Royal Society 2015
Online Access:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4455805/
id pubmed-4455805
recordtype oai_dc
spelling pubmed-44558052015-06-12 Eliminating bovine tuberculosis in cattle and badgers: insight from a dynamic model Brooks-Pollock, Ellen Wood, James L. N. Research Articles Bovine tuberculosis (BTB) is a multi-species infection that commonly affects cattle and badgers in Great Britain. Despite years of study, the impact of badgers on BTB incidence in cattle is poorly understood. Using a two-host transmission model of BTB in cattle and badgers, we find that published data and parameter estimates are most consistent with a system at the threshold of control. The most consistent explanation for data obtained from cattle and badger populations includes within-host reproduction numbers close to 1 and between-host reproduction numbers of approximately 0.05. In terms of controlling infection in cattle, reducing cattle-to-cattle transmission is essential. In some regions, even large reductions in badger prevalence can have a modest impact on cattle infection and a multi-stranded approach is necessary that also targets badger-to-cattle transmission directly. The new perspective highlighted by this two-host approach provides insight into the control of BTB in Great Britain. The Royal Society 2015-06-07 /pmc/articles/PMC4455805/ /pubmed/25972466 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2015.0374 Text en http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ © 2015 The Authors. Published by the Royal Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, which permits unrestricted use, provided the original author and source are credited.
repository_type Open Access Journal
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution US National Center for Biotechnology Information
building NCBI PubMed
collection Online Access
language English
format Online
author Brooks-Pollock, Ellen
Wood, James L. N.
spellingShingle Brooks-Pollock, Ellen
Wood, James L. N.
Eliminating bovine tuberculosis in cattle and badgers: insight from a dynamic model
author_facet Brooks-Pollock, Ellen
Wood, James L. N.
author_sort Brooks-Pollock, Ellen
title Eliminating bovine tuberculosis in cattle and badgers: insight from a dynamic model
title_short Eliminating bovine tuberculosis in cattle and badgers: insight from a dynamic model
title_full Eliminating bovine tuberculosis in cattle and badgers: insight from a dynamic model
title_fullStr Eliminating bovine tuberculosis in cattle and badgers: insight from a dynamic model
title_full_unstemmed Eliminating bovine tuberculosis in cattle and badgers: insight from a dynamic model
title_sort eliminating bovine tuberculosis in cattle and badgers: insight from a dynamic model
description Bovine tuberculosis (BTB) is a multi-species infection that commonly affects cattle and badgers in Great Britain. Despite years of study, the impact of badgers on BTB incidence in cattle is poorly understood. Using a two-host transmission model of BTB in cattle and badgers, we find that published data and parameter estimates are most consistent with a system at the threshold of control. The most consistent explanation for data obtained from cattle and badger populations includes within-host reproduction numbers close to 1 and between-host reproduction numbers of approximately 0.05. In terms of controlling infection in cattle, reducing cattle-to-cattle transmission is essential. In some regions, even large reductions in badger prevalence can have a modest impact on cattle infection and a multi-stranded approach is necessary that also targets badger-to-cattle transmission directly. The new perspective highlighted by this two-host approach provides insight into the control of BTB in Great Britain.
publisher The Royal Society
publishDate 2015
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4455805/
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