Weather conditions and voter turnout in Dutch national parliament elections, 1971–2010

While conventional wisdom assumes that inclement weather on election day reduces voter turnout, there is remarkably little evidence available to support truth to such belief. This paper examines the effects of temperature, sunshine duration and rainfall on voter turnout in 13 Dutch national parliame...

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Main Authors:	Eisinga, Rob, Te Grotenhuis, Manfred, Pelzer, Ben
Format:	Online
Language:	English
Published:	Springer-Verlag 2011
Online Access:	https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3382632/

id	pubmed-3382632
recordtype	oai_dc
spelling	pubmed-33826322012-07-05 Weather conditions and voter turnout in Dutch national parliament elections, 1971–2010 Eisinga, Rob Te Grotenhuis, Manfred Pelzer, Ben Short Communication While conventional wisdom assumes that inclement weather on election day reduces voter turnout, there is remarkably little evidence available to support truth to such belief. This paper examines the effects of temperature, sunshine duration and rainfall on voter turnout in 13 Dutch national parliament elections held from 1971 to 2010. It merges the election results from over 400 municipalities with election-day weather data drawn from the nearest weather station. We find that the weather parameters indeed affect voter turnout. Election-day rainfall of roughly 25 mm (1 inch) reduces turnout by a rate of one percent, whereas a 10-degree-Celsius increase in temperature correlates with an increase of almost one percent in overall turnout. One hundred percent sunshine corresponds to a one and a half percent greater voter turnout compared to zero sunshine. Springer-Verlag 2011-07-27 2012-07 /pmc/articles/PMC3382632/ /pubmed/21792567 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00484-011-0477-7 Text en © The Author(s) 2011
repository_type	Open Access Journal
institution_category	Foreign Institution
institution	US National Center for Biotechnology Information
building	NCBI PubMed
collection	Online Access
language	English
format	Online
author	Eisinga, Rob Te Grotenhuis, Manfred Pelzer, Ben
spellingShingle	Eisinga, Rob Te Grotenhuis, Manfred Pelzer, Ben Weather conditions and voter turnout in Dutch national parliament elections, 1971–2010
author_facet	Eisinga, Rob Te Grotenhuis, Manfred Pelzer, Ben
author_sort	Eisinga, Rob
title	Weather conditions and voter turnout in Dutch national parliament elections, 1971–2010
title_short	Weather conditions and voter turnout in Dutch national parliament elections, 1971–2010
title_full	Weather conditions and voter turnout in Dutch national parliament elections, 1971–2010
title_fullStr	Weather conditions and voter turnout in Dutch national parliament elections, 1971–2010
title_full_unstemmed	Weather conditions and voter turnout in Dutch national parliament elections, 1971–2010
title_sort	weather conditions and voter turnout in dutch national parliament elections, 1971–2010
description	While conventional wisdom assumes that inclement weather on election day reduces voter turnout, there is remarkably little evidence available to support truth to such belief. This paper examines the effects of temperature, sunshine duration and rainfall on voter turnout in 13 Dutch national parliament elections held from 1971 to 2010. It merges the election results from over 400 municipalities with election-day weather data drawn from the nearest weather station. We find that the weather parameters indeed affect voter turnout. Election-day rainfall of roughly 25 mm (1 inch) reduces turnout by a rate of one percent, whereas a 10-degree-Celsius increase in temperature correlates with an increase of almost one percent in overall turnout. One hundred percent sunshine corresponds to a one and a half percent greater voter turnout compared to zero sunshine.
publisher	Springer-Verlag
publishDate	2011
url	https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3382632/
_version_	1611538934519562240

Weather conditions and voter turnout in Dutch national parliament elections, 1971–2010

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