Influenza Epidemics in the United States, France, and Australia, 1972–19971
Influenza epidemics occur once a year during the winter in temperate areas. Little is known about the similarities between epidemics at different locations. We have analyzed pneumonia and influenza deaths from 1972 to 1997 in the United States, France, and Australia to examine the correlation over s...
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Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
2004
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Online Access: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3322745/ |
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pubmed-33227452012-04-16 Influenza Epidemics in the United States, France, and Australia, 1972–19971 Viboud, Cécile Boëlle, Pierre-Yves Pakdaman, Khashayar Carrat, Fabrice Valleron, Alain-Jacques Flahault, Antoine Research Influenza epidemics occur once a year during the winter in temperate areas. Little is known about the similarities between epidemics at different locations. We have analyzed pneumonia and influenza deaths from 1972 to 1997 in the United States, France, and Australia to examine the correlation over space and time between the three countries. We found a high correlation in both areas between France and the United States (correlation in impact, Spearman’s ρ = 0.76, p < 0.001, and test for synchrony in timing of epidemics, p < 0.001). We did not find a similar correlation between the United States and Australia or between France and Australia, when considering a systematic half-year lead or delay of influenza epidemics in Australia as compared with those in the United States or France. These results support a high correlation at the hemisphere level and suggest that the global interhemispheric circulation of epidemics follows an irregular pathway with recurrent changes in the leading hemisphere. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2004-01 /pmc/articles/PMC3322745/ /pubmed/15078594 http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid1001.020705 Text en |
repository_type |
Open Access Journal |
institution_category |
Foreign Institution |
institution |
US National Center for Biotechnology Information |
building |
NCBI PubMed |
collection |
Online Access |
language |
English |
format |
Online |
author |
Viboud, Cécile Boëlle, Pierre-Yves Pakdaman, Khashayar Carrat, Fabrice Valleron, Alain-Jacques Flahault, Antoine |
spellingShingle |
Viboud, Cécile Boëlle, Pierre-Yves Pakdaman, Khashayar Carrat, Fabrice Valleron, Alain-Jacques Flahault, Antoine Influenza Epidemics in the United States, France, and Australia, 1972–19971 |
author_facet |
Viboud, Cécile Boëlle, Pierre-Yves Pakdaman, Khashayar Carrat, Fabrice Valleron, Alain-Jacques Flahault, Antoine |
author_sort |
Viboud, Cécile |
title |
Influenza Epidemics in the United States, France, and Australia, 1972–19971 |
title_short |
Influenza Epidemics in the United States, France, and Australia, 1972–19971 |
title_full |
Influenza Epidemics in the United States, France, and Australia, 1972–19971 |
title_fullStr |
Influenza Epidemics in the United States, France, and Australia, 1972–19971 |
title_full_unstemmed |
Influenza Epidemics in the United States, France, and Australia, 1972–19971 |
title_sort |
influenza epidemics in the united states, france, and australia, 1972–19971 |
description |
Influenza epidemics occur once a year during the winter in temperate areas. Little is known about the similarities between epidemics at different locations. We have analyzed pneumonia and influenza deaths from 1972 to 1997 in the United States, France, and Australia to examine the correlation over space and time between the three countries. We found a high correlation in both areas between France and the United States (correlation in impact, Spearman’s ρ = 0.76, p < 0.001, and test for synchrony in timing of epidemics, p < 0.001). We did not find a similar correlation between the United States and Australia or between France and Australia, when considering a systematic half-year lead or delay of influenza epidemics in Australia as compared with those in the United States or France. These results support a high correlation at the hemisphere level and suggest that the global interhemispheric circulation of epidemics follows an irregular pathway with recurrent changes in the leading hemisphere. |
publisher |
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention |
publishDate |
2004 |
url |
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3322745/ |
_version_ |
1611519882114891776 |