Influenza Epidemics in the United States, France, and Australia, 1972–19971

Influenza epidemics occur once a year during the winter in temperate areas. Little is known about the similarities between epidemics at different locations. We have analyzed pneumonia and influenza deaths from 1972 to 1997 in the United States, France, and Australia to examine the correlation over s...

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Main Authors: Viboud, Cécile, Boëlle, Pierre-Yves, Pakdaman, Khashayar, Carrat, Fabrice, Valleron, Alain-Jacques, Flahault, Antoine
Format: Online
Language:English
Published: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2004
Online Access:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3322745/
id pubmed-3322745
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spelling pubmed-33227452012-04-16 Influenza Epidemics in the United States, France, and Australia, 1972–19971 Viboud, Cécile Boëlle, Pierre-Yves Pakdaman, Khashayar Carrat, Fabrice Valleron, Alain-Jacques Flahault, Antoine Research Influenza epidemics occur once a year during the winter in temperate areas. Little is known about the similarities between epidemics at different locations. We have analyzed pneumonia and influenza deaths from 1972 to 1997 in the United States, France, and Australia to examine the correlation over space and time between the three countries. We found a high correlation in both areas between France and the United States (correlation in impact, Spearman’s ρ = 0.76, p < 0.001, and test for synchrony in timing of epidemics, p < 0.001). We did not find a similar correlation between the United States and Australia or between France and Australia, when considering a systematic half-year lead or delay of influenza epidemics in Australia as compared with those in the United States or France. These results support a high correlation at the hemisphere level and suggest that the global interhemispheric circulation of epidemics follows an irregular pathway with recurrent changes in the leading hemisphere. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2004-01 /pmc/articles/PMC3322745/ /pubmed/15078594 http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid1001.020705 Text en
repository_type Open Access Journal
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution US National Center for Biotechnology Information
building NCBI PubMed
collection Online Access
language English
format Online
author Viboud, Cécile
Boëlle, Pierre-Yves
Pakdaman, Khashayar
Carrat, Fabrice
Valleron, Alain-Jacques
Flahault, Antoine
spellingShingle Viboud, Cécile
Boëlle, Pierre-Yves
Pakdaman, Khashayar
Carrat, Fabrice
Valleron, Alain-Jacques
Flahault, Antoine
Influenza Epidemics in the United States, France, and Australia, 1972–19971
author_facet Viboud, Cécile
Boëlle, Pierre-Yves
Pakdaman, Khashayar
Carrat, Fabrice
Valleron, Alain-Jacques
Flahault, Antoine
author_sort Viboud, Cécile
title Influenza Epidemics in the United States, France, and Australia, 1972–19971
title_short Influenza Epidemics in the United States, France, and Australia, 1972–19971
title_full Influenza Epidemics in the United States, France, and Australia, 1972–19971
title_fullStr Influenza Epidemics in the United States, France, and Australia, 1972–19971
title_full_unstemmed Influenza Epidemics in the United States, France, and Australia, 1972–19971
title_sort influenza epidemics in the united states, france, and australia, 1972–19971
description Influenza epidemics occur once a year during the winter in temperate areas. Little is known about the similarities between epidemics at different locations. We have analyzed pneumonia and influenza deaths from 1972 to 1997 in the United States, France, and Australia to examine the correlation over space and time between the three countries. We found a high correlation in both areas between France and the United States (correlation in impact, Spearman’s ρ = 0.76, p < 0.001, and test for synchrony in timing of epidemics, p < 0.001). We did not find a similar correlation between the United States and Australia or between France and Australia, when considering a systematic half-year lead or delay of influenza epidemics in Australia as compared with those in the United States or France. These results support a high correlation at the hemisphere level and suggest that the global interhemispheric circulation of epidemics follows an irregular pathway with recurrent changes in the leading hemisphere.
publisher Centers for Disease Control and Prevention
publishDate 2004
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3322745/
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