Investment Strategies Used as Spectroscopy of Financial Markets Reveal New Stylized Facts

We propose a new set of stylized facts quantifying the structure of financial markets. The key idea is to study the combined structure of both investment strategies and prices in order to open a qualitatively new level of understanding of financial and economic markets. We study the detailed order f...

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Main Authors: Zhou, Wei-Xing, Mu, Guo-Hua, Chen, Wei, Sornette, Didier
Format: Online
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science 2011
Online Access:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3173398/
id pubmed-3173398
recordtype oai_dc
spelling pubmed-31733982011-09-20 Investment Strategies Used as Spectroscopy of Financial Markets Reveal New Stylized Facts Zhou, Wei-Xing Mu, Guo-Hua Chen, Wei Sornette, Didier Research Article We propose a new set of stylized facts quantifying the structure of financial markets. The key idea is to study the combined structure of both investment strategies and prices in order to open a qualitatively new level of understanding of financial and economic markets. We study the detailed order flow on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China for the whole year of 2003. This enormous dataset allows us to compare (i) a closed national market (A-shares) with an international market (B-shares), (ii) individuals and institutions, and (iii) real traders to random strategies with respect to timing that share otherwise all other characteristics. We find in general that more trading results in smaller net return due to trading frictions, with the exception that the net return is independent of the trading frequency for A-share individual traders. We unveiled quantitative power laws with non-trivial exponents, that quantify the deterioration of performance with frequency and with holding period of the strategies used by traders. Random strategies are found to perform much better than real ones, both for winners and losers. Surprising large arbitrage opportunities exist, especially when using zero-intelligence strategies. This is a diagnostic of possible inefficiencies of these financial markets. Public Library of Science 2011-09-14 /pmc/articles/PMC3173398/ /pubmed/21935403 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0024391 Text en Zhou et al. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are properly credited.
repository_type Open Access Journal
institution_category Foreign Institution
institution US National Center for Biotechnology Information
building NCBI PubMed
collection Online Access
language English
format Online
author Zhou, Wei-Xing
Mu, Guo-Hua
Chen, Wei
Sornette, Didier
spellingShingle Zhou, Wei-Xing
Mu, Guo-Hua
Chen, Wei
Sornette, Didier
Investment Strategies Used as Spectroscopy of Financial Markets Reveal New Stylized Facts
author_facet Zhou, Wei-Xing
Mu, Guo-Hua
Chen, Wei
Sornette, Didier
author_sort Zhou, Wei-Xing
title Investment Strategies Used as Spectroscopy of Financial Markets Reveal New Stylized Facts
title_short Investment Strategies Used as Spectroscopy of Financial Markets Reveal New Stylized Facts
title_full Investment Strategies Used as Spectroscopy of Financial Markets Reveal New Stylized Facts
title_fullStr Investment Strategies Used as Spectroscopy of Financial Markets Reveal New Stylized Facts
title_full_unstemmed Investment Strategies Used as Spectroscopy of Financial Markets Reveal New Stylized Facts
title_sort investment strategies used as spectroscopy of financial markets reveal new stylized facts
description We propose a new set of stylized facts quantifying the structure of financial markets. The key idea is to study the combined structure of both investment strategies and prices in order to open a qualitatively new level of understanding of financial and economic markets. We study the detailed order flow on the Shenzhen Stock Exchange of China for the whole year of 2003. This enormous dataset allows us to compare (i) a closed national market (A-shares) with an international market (B-shares), (ii) individuals and institutions, and (iii) real traders to random strategies with respect to timing that share otherwise all other characteristics. We find in general that more trading results in smaller net return due to trading frictions, with the exception that the net return is independent of the trading frequency for A-share individual traders. We unveiled quantitative power laws with non-trivial exponents, that quantify the deterioration of performance with frequency and with holding period of the strategies used by traders. Random strategies are found to perform much better than real ones, both for winners and losers. Surprising large arbitrage opportunities exist, especially when using zero-intelligence strategies. This is a diagnostic of possible inefficiencies of these financial markets.
publisher Public Library of Science
publishDate 2011
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3173398/
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