Mission Impossible? : Exploring the Promise of Multiple Imputation for Predicting Missing GPS-Based Land Area Measures in Household Surveys

Research has provided robust evidence for the use of GPS technology to be the scalable gold standard in land area measurement in household surveys. Nonetheless, facing budget constraints, survey agencies often seek to measure with GPS only plots wi...

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Main Authors: Kilic, Talip, Yacoubou Djima, Ismael, Carletto, Calogero
Format: Working Paper
Language:English
English
Published: World Bank, Washington, DC 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27641
id okr-10986-27641
recordtype oai_dc
spelling okr-10986-276412017-12-13T09:00:45Z Mission Impossible? : Exploring the Promise of Multiple Imputation for Predicting Missing GPS-Based Land Area Measures in Household Surveys Kilic, Talip Yacoubou Djima, Ismael Carletto, Calogero LAND USE GLOBAL POSITIONING SYSTEM LAND AREA MEASUREMENT Research has provided robust evidence for the use of GPS technology to be the scalable gold standard in land area measurement in household surveys. Nonetheless, facing budget constraints, survey agencies often seek to measure with GPS only plots within a given radius of dwelling locations. Subsequently, it is common for significant shares of plots not to be measured, and research has highlighted the selection biases resulting from using incomplete data. This study relies on nationally-representative, multi-topic household survey data from Malawi and Ethiopia that exhibit near-negligible missingness in GPS-based plot areas, and validates the accuracy of a multiple imputation model for predicting missing GPS-based plot areas in household surveys. The analysis (i) randomly creates missingness among plots beyond two operationally relevant distance measures from the dwelling locations; (ii) conducts multiple imputation under each distance scenario for each artificially created data set; and (iii) compares the distributions of the imputed plot-level outcomes, namely, area and agricultural productivity, with the known distributions. In Malawi, multiple imputation can produce imputed yields that are statistically undistinguishable from the true distributions with up to 82 percent missingness in plot areas that are further than 1 kilometer from the dwelling location. The comparable figure in Ethiopia is 56 percent. These rates correspond to overall rates of missingness of 23 percent in Malawi and 13 percent in Ethiopia. The study highlights the promise of multiple imputation for reliably predicting missing GPS-based plot areas, and provides recommendations for optimizing fieldwork activities to capture the minimum required data. 2017-07-19T17:04:53Z 2017-07-19T17:04:53Z 2017-07 Working Paper http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27641 English en_US Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8138 CC BY 3.0 IGO http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/3.0/igo World Bank World Bank, Washington, DC Publications & Research Publications & Research :: Policy Research Working Paper Africa
institution Open Data Bank
collection Open Knowledge Repository
building World Bank
language English
English
topic LAND USE
GLOBAL POSITIONING SYSTEM
LAND AREA MEASUREMENT
spellingShingle LAND USE
GLOBAL POSITIONING SYSTEM
LAND AREA MEASUREMENT
Kilic, Talip
Yacoubou Djima, Ismael
Carletto, Calogero
Mission Impossible? : Exploring the Promise of Multiple Imputation for Predicting Missing GPS-Based Land Area Measures in Household Surveys
geographic_facet Africa
relation Policy Research Working Paper;No. 8138
description Research has provided robust evidence for the use of GPS technology to be the scalable gold standard in land area measurement in household surveys. Nonetheless, facing budget constraints, survey agencies often seek to measure with GPS only plots within a given radius of dwelling locations. Subsequently, it is common for significant shares of plots not to be measured, and research has highlighted the selection biases resulting from using incomplete data. This study relies on nationally-representative, multi-topic household survey data from Malawi and Ethiopia that exhibit near-negligible missingness in GPS-based plot areas, and validates the accuracy of a multiple imputation model for predicting missing GPS-based plot areas in household surveys. The analysis (i) randomly creates missingness among plots beyond two operationally relevant distance measures from the dwelling locations; (ii) conducts multiple imputation under each distance scenario for each artificially created data set; and (iii) compares the distributions of the imputed plot-level outcomes, namely, area and agricultural productivity, with the known distributions. In Malawi, multiple imputation can produce imputed yields that are statistically undistinguishable from the true distributions with up to 82 percent missingness in plot areas that are further than 1 kilometer from the dwelling location. The comparable figure in Ethiopia is 56 percent. These rates correspond to overall rates of missingness of 23 percent in Malawi and 13 percent in Ethiopia. The study highlights the promise of multiple imputation for reliably predicting missing GPS-based plot areas, and provides recommendations for optimizing fieldwork activities to capture the minimum required data.
format Working Paper
author Kilic, Talip
Yacoubou Djima, Ismael
Carletto, Calogero
author_facet Kilic, Talip
Yacoubou Djima, Ismael
Carletto, Calogero
author_sort Kilic, Talip
title Mission Impossible? : Exploring the Promise of Multiple Imputation for Predicting Missing GPS-Based Land Area Measures in Household Surveys
title_short Mission Impossible? : Exploring the Promise of Multiple Imputation for Predicting Missing GPS-Based Land Area Measures in Household Surveys
title_full Mission Impossible? : Exploring the Promise of Multiple Imputation for Predicting Missing GPS-Based Land Area Measures in Household Surveys
title_fullStr Mission Impossible? : Exploring the Promise of Multiple Imputation for Predicting Missing GPS-Based Land Area Measures in Household Surveys
title_full_unstemmed Mission Impossible? : Exploring the Promise of Multiple Imputation for Predicting Missing GPS-Based Land Area Measures in Household Surveys
title_sort mission impossible? : exploring the promise of multiple imputation for predicting missing gps-based land area measures in household surveys
publisher World Bank, Washington, DC
publishDate 2017
url http://hdl.handle.net/10986/27641
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