BACKWARD INDUCTION: MERITS AND FLAWS

Backward induction (BI) was one of the earliest methods developed for solving finite sequential games with perfect information. It proved to be especially useful in the context of Tom Schelling’s ideas of credible versus incredible threats. BI can be also extended to solve complex games that include...

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Main Author: Kamiński Marek M.
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Sciendo 2017-06-01
Series:Studies in Logic, Grammar and Rhetoric
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/slgr.2017.50.issue-1/slgr-2017-0016/slgr-2017-0016.xml?format=INT
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spelling doaj-art-0631f23bbd3b45998d2e27bbab2f80762018-09-02T05:22:41ZengSciendoStudies in Logic, Grammar and Rhetoric2199-60592017-06-0150192410.1515/slgr-2017-0016slgr-2017-0016BACKWARD INDUCTION: MERITS AND FLAWSKamiński Marek M.0University of California, Irvine, USABackward induction (BI) was one of the earliest methods developed for solving finite sequential games with perfect information. It proved to be especially useful in the context of Tom Schelling’s ideas of credible versus incredible threats. BI can be also extended to solve complex games that include an infinite number of actions or an infinite number of periods. However, some more complex empirical or experimental predictions remain dramatically at odds with theoretical predictions obtained by BI. The primary example of such a troublesome game is Centipede. The problems appear in other long games with sufficiently complex structure. BI also shares the problems of subgame perfect equilibrium and fails to eliminate certain unreasonable Nash equilibria.http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/slgr.2017.50.issue-1/slgr-2017-0016/slgr-2017-0016.xml?format=INTbackward inductionNash equilibriumsubgame perfect equilibriumsequential gameextensive form gameCentipede
institution Open Data Bank
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language English
format Article
author Kamiński Marek M.
spellingShingle Kamiński Marek M.
BACKWARD INDUCTION: MERITS AND FLAWS
Studies in Logic, Grammar and Rhetoric
backward induction
Nash equilibrium
subgame perfect equilibrium
sequential game
extensive form game
Centipede
author_facet Kamiński Marek M.
author_sort Kamiński Marek M.
title BACKWARD INDUCTION: MERITS AND FLAWS
title_short BACKWARD INDUCTION: MERITS AND FLAWS
title_full BACKWARD INDUCTION: MERITS AND FLAWS
title_fullStr BACKWARD INDUCTION: MERITS AND FLAWS
title_full_unstemmed BACKWARD INDUCTION: MERITS AND FLAWS
title_sort backward induction: merits and flaws
publisher Sciendo
series Studies in Logic, Grammar and Rhetoric
issn 2199-6059
publishDate 2017-06-01
description Backward induction (BI) was one of the earliest methods developed for solving finite sequential games with perfect information. It proved to be especially useful in the context of Tom Schelling’s ideas of credible versus incredible threats. BI can be also extended to solve complex games that include an infinite number of actions or an infinite number of periods. However, some more complex empirical or experimental predictions remain dramatically at odds with theoretical predictions obtained by BI. The primary example of such a troublesome game is Centipede. The problems appear in other long games with sufficiently complex structure. BI also shares the problems of subgame perfect equilibrium and fails to eliminate certain unreasonable Nash equilibria.
topic backward induction
Nash equilibrium
subgame perfect equilibrium
sequential game
extensive form game
Centipede
url http://www.degruyter.com/view/j/slgr.2017.50.issue-1/slgr-2017-0016/slgr-2017-0016.xml?format=INT
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