Review of CCSP draft synthesis and assessment product 5.3 [electronic resource] : decison- support experiments and evaluations using seasonal to interannual forecasts and observational data

This study offered an independent peer review for a synthetic document being produced for the CCSP. It found the draft document to be in a fairly early stage of development and noted several issues needing attention in the revision. The draft was inconsistent across sections with respect to whethe...

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Bibliographic Details
Corporate Authors: National Research Council (US) . Committee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change, National Research Council (US) . Panel to Review CCSP Draft Synthesis and Assessment Product 53: Decision-Support Experiments and Evaluations Using Seasonal to Interannual Forecasts and Observational Data
Format: Book
Language:English
Published: Washington, DC : National Academies Press , c2008
Subjects:
Online Access:NetLibrary

MARC

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245 0 0 |a Review of CCSP draft synthesis and assessment product 5.3 [electronic resource] :   |b decison- support experiments and evaluations using seasonal to interannual forecasts and observational data   |c Panel to Review CCSP Draft Synthesis and Assessment Product 5.3: Decision-Support Experiments and Evaluations Using Seasonal to Interannual Forecasts and Observational Data ; Committee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change, Center for Economic, Governance and International Studies, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education, National Research Council of the National Academies 
260 |a Washington, DC :   |b National Academies Press ,   |c c2008 
300 |a 1 online resource (ix, 46 p.) :   |b ill 
500 |a Description based on print version record 
504 |a Includes bibliographical references (p 40-42) 
520 |a This study offered an independent peer review for a synthetic document being produced for the CCSP. It found the draft document to be in a fairly early stage of development and noted several issues needing attention in the revision. The draft was inconsistent across sections with respect to whether or not it accepted two assumptions : that more skillful forecasts necessarily have greater value, and that the most useful form of information is a projected future value of an outcome parameter with an uncertainty distribution. Available scientific evidence gives reason to question these assumptions, and the draft did not discuss the evidence. Among other issues needing attention, the review called for the revised draft to do more to substantiate its claims of the potential benefits of knowledge-action networks and to give more careful consideration to the appropriate balance of roles between governmental and private efforts 
650 0 |a Atmospheric carbon dioxide   |x Environmental aspects 
650 0 |a Climatic changes   |x Risk assessment 
650 0 |a Climatology   |x Research   |z United States   |x Evaluation 
710 2 |a National Research Council (US) .   |b Committee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change 
710 2 |a National Research Council (US) .   |b Panel to Review CCSP Draft Synthesis and Assessment Product 53: Decision-Support Experiments and Evaluations Using Seasonal to Interannual Forecasts and Observational Data 
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