A neural model for predicting the time performance of traditional general contract (TGC) project

Several studies had shown that many project managers are facing difficulties in predicting the time performance of Traditional General Contract (TGC) projects because there are many factors that affect TGC project success. This study presents the development of a model that can be used to predict th...

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Main Authors: Mohamad Zin, Rosli, Tan, Caren Cai Loon
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Faculty of Civil Engineering, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 2008
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.utm.my/8188/
http://eprints.utm.my/8188/1/RosliMohamadZin2008-ANeuralNetworkModelforPredicting.pdf
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author Mohamad Zin, Rosli
Tan, Caren Cai Loon
author_facet Mohamad Zin, Rosli
Tan, Caren Cai Loon
author_sort Mohamad Zin, Rosli
building UTeM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Several studies had shown that many project managers are facing difficulties in predicting the time performance of Traditional General Contract (TGC) projects because there are many factors that affect TGC project success. This study presents the development of a model that can be used to predict the time performance of TGC project. Through literature research, fortyfour success factors affecting TGC project have been established. The degree of importance for these factors was determined through questionnaire survey. The outcome of the survey formed a basis for the development of the time performance prediction model using Artificial Neural Network technique. The best model was found to be a multi-layer back-propagation neural network consists of eight input nodes, five hidden nodes and three output nodes. The model was tested by using data from nine new projects. The results show that the mean error for this prediction model is relatively low. The developed model enables all parties involved in TGC projects to predict and ensure that their project is on time
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spelling utm-81882014-04-16T04:35:20Z http://eprints.utm.my/8188/ A neural model for predicting the time performance of traditional general contract (TGC) project Mohamad Zin, Rosli Tan, Caren Cai Loon TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) Several studies had shown that many project managers are facing difficulties in predicting the time performance of Traditional General Contract (TGC) projects because there are many factors that affect TGC project success. This study presents the development of a model that can be used to predict the time performance of TGC project. Through literature research, fortyfour success factors affecting TGC project have been established. The degree of importance for these factors was determined through questionnaire survey. The outcome of the survey formed a basis for the development of the time performance prediction model using Artificial Neural Network technique. The best model was found to be a multi-layer back-propagation neural network consists of eight input nodes, five hidden nodes and three output nodes. The model was tested by using data from nine new projects. The results show that the mean error for this prediction model is relatively low. The developed model enables all parties involved in TGC projects to predict and ensure that their project is on time Faculty of Civil Engineering, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia 2008 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://eprints.utm.my/8188/1/RosliMohamadZin2008-ANeuralNetworkModelforPredicting.pdf Mohamad Zin, Rosli and Tan, Caren Cai Loon (2008) A neural model for predicting the time performance of traditional general contract (TGC) project. Malaysian Journal of Civil Engineering, 20 (1). pp. 26-37. ISSN 1823-7843
spellingShingle TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
Mohamad Zin, Rosli
Tan, Caren Cai Loon
A neural model for predicting the time performance of traditional general contract (TGC) project
title A neural model for predicting the time performance of traditional general contract (TGC) project
title_full A neural model for predicting the time performance of traditional general contract (TGC) project
title_fullStr A neural model for predicting the time performance of traditional general contract (TGC) project
title_full_unstemmed A neural model for predicting the time performance of traditional general contract (TGC) project
title_short A neural model for predicting the time performance of traditional general contract (TGC) project
title_sort neural model for predicting the time performance of traditional general contract (tgc) project
topic TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
url http://eprints.utm.my/8188/
http://eprints.utm.my/8188/1/RosliMohamadZin2008-ANeuralNetworkModelforPredicting.pdf