Multi input intervention model for evaluating the impact of the asian crisis and terrorist attacks on tourist arrivals

The objective of this research is to study the impact of the Asian financial crisis and terrorist attacks Bali on the number of tourist arrivals by using a multi input intervention model. The focus is on the development of a model that could be used to explain the magnitude and periodic impacts of t...

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Main Authors: Lee, Muhammad Hisyam, Suhartono, Suhartono, Sanugi, Bahrom
Format: Article
Language:English
English
Published: Faculty of Science 2010
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.utm.my/6989/
http://eprints.utm.my/6989/3/MuhammadHisyamLee2010_MultiInputInterventionModelforEvaluating.pdf
http://eprints.utm.my/6989/4/20102618.pdf
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author Lee, Muhammad Hisyam
Suhartono, Suhartono
Sanugi, Bahrom
author_facet Lee, Muhammad Hisyam
Suhartono, Suhartono
Sanugi, Bahrom
author_sort Lee, Muhammad Hisyam
building UTeM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description The objective of this research is to study the impact of the Asian financial crisis and terrorist attacks Bali on the number of tourist arrivals by using a multi input intervention model. The focus is on the development of a model that could be used to explain the magnitude and periodic impacts of the Asian financial crisis since July 1997 and terrorist attacks referring to the Bali bombings on October 12th 2002 and October 1st 2005, respectively. Monthly data comprising the number of tourist arrivals in Indonesia via Soekarno-Hatta airport are used as the data for this case study. The results show that the Asian financial crisis and Bali bombings yield negative impacts on the number of tourist arrivals to Indonesia via Soekarno-Hatta airport. Generally, the Asian financial crisis gives a negative permanent impact after seven month delay. The first and second Bali bombings also yield negative impacts which were temporary effect after six and twelve months delay respectively. In addition, this research also discusses how to assess the effect of an intervention in transformation data
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spelling utm-69892014-03-04T09:03:42Z http://eprints.utm.my/6989/ Multi input intervention model for evaluating the impact of the asian crisis and terrorist attacks on tourist arrivals Lee, Muhammad Hisyam Suhartono, Suhartono Sanugi, Bahrom QA Mathematics The objective of this research is to study the impact of the Asian financial crisis and terrorist attacks Bali on the number of tourist arrivals by using a multi input intervention model. The focus is on the development of a model that could be used to explain the magnitude and periodic impacts of the Asian financial crisis since July 1997 and terrorist attacks referring to the Bali bombings on October 12th 2002 and October 1st 2005, respectively. Monthly data comprising the number of tourist arrivals in Indonesia via Soekarno-Hatta airport are used as the data for this case study. The results show that the Asian financial crisis and Bali bombings yield negative impacts on the number of tourist arrivals to Indonesia via Soekarno-Hatta airport. Generally, the Asian financial crisis gives a negative permanent impact after seven month delay. The first and second Bali bombings also yield negative impacts which were temporary effect after six and twelve months delay respectively. In addition, this research also discusses how to assess the effect of an intervention in transformation data Faculty of Science 2010-06 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://eprints.utm.my/6989/3/MuhammadHisyamLee2010_MultiInputInterventionModelforEvaluating.pdf text/html en http://eprints.utm.my/6989/4/20102618.pdf Lee, Muhammad Hisyam and Suhartono, Suhartono and Sanugi, Bahrom (2010) Multi input intervention model for evaluating the impact of the asian crisis and terrorist attacks on tourist arrivals. Matematika, 26 (1). pp. 83-106. ISSN 0127-8274
spellingShingle QA Mathematics
Lee, Muhammad Hisyam
Suhartono, Suhartono
Sanugi, Bahrom
Multi input intervention model for evaluating the impact of the asian crisis and terrorist attacks on tourist arrivals
title Multi input intervention model for evaluating the impact of the asian crisis and terrorist attacks on tourist arrivals
title_full Multi input intervention model for evaluating the impact of the asian crisis and terrorist attacks on tourist arrivals
title_fullStr Multi input intervention model for evaluating the impact of the asian crisis and terrorist attacks on tourist arrivals
title_full_unstemmed Multi input intervention model for evaluating the impact of the asian crisis and terrorist attacks on tourist arrivals
title_short Multi input intervention model for evaluating the impact of the asian crisis and terrorist attacks on tourist arrivals
title_sort multi input intervention model for evaluating the impact of the asian crisis and terrorist attacks on tourist arrivals
topic QA Mathematics
url http://eprints.utm.my/6989/
http://eprints.utm.my/6989/3/MuhammadHisyamLee2010_MultiInputInterventionModelforEvaluating.pdf
http://eprints.utm.my/6989/4/20102618.pdf