Finding kernel function for stock market prediction with support vector regression

Stock market prediction is one of the fascinating issues of stock market research. Accurate stock prediction becomes the biggest challenge in investment industry because the distribution of stock data is changing over the time. Time series forcasting, Neural Network (NN) and Support Vector Machine (...

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Main Author: Chai, Chon Lung
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: 2006
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.utm.my/3974/
http://eprints.utm.my/3974/1/ChaiChonLungMFSKSM2006.pdf
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author Chai, Chon Lung
author_facet Chai, Chon Lung
author_sort Chai, Chon Lung
building UTeM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Stock market prediction is one of the fascinating issues of stock market research. Accurate stock prediction becomes the biggest challenge in investment industry because the distribution of stock data is changing over the time. Time series forcasting, Neural Network (NN) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) are once commonly used for prediction on stock price. In this study, the data mining operation called time series forecasting is implemented. The large amount of stock data collected from Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange is used for the experiment to test the validity of SVMs regression. SVM is a new machine learning technique with principle of structural minimization risk, which have greater generalization ability and proved success in time series prediction. Two kernel functions namely Radial Basis Function and polynomial are compared for finding the accurate prediction values. Besides that, backpropagation neural network are also used to compare the predictions performance. Several experiments are conducted and some analyses on the experimental results are done. The results show that SVM with polynomial kernels provide a promising alternative tool in KLSE stock market prediction.
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institution Universiti Teknologi Malaysia
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language English
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publishDate 2006
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spelling utm-39742018-01-11T04:46:34Z http://eprints.utm.my/3974/ Finding kernel function for stock market prediction with support vector regression Chai, Chon Lung QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science Stock market prediction is one of the fascinating issues of stock market research. Accurate stock prediction becomes the biggest challenge in investment industry because the distribution of stock data is changing over the time. Time series forcasting, Neural Network (NN) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) are once commonly used for prediction on stock price. In this study, the data mining operation called time series forecasting is implemented. The large amount of stock data collected from Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange is used for the experiment to test the validity of SVMs regression. SVM is a new machine learning technique with principle of structural minimization risk, which have greater generalization ability and proved success in time series prediction. Two kernel functions namely Radial Basis Function and polynomial are compared for finding the accurate prediction values. Besides that, backpropagation neural network are also used to compare the predictions performance. Several experiments are conducted and some analyses on the experimental results are done. The results show that SVM with polynomial kernels provide a promising alternative tool in KLSE stock market prediction. 2006-04 Thesis NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en http://eprints.utm.my/3974/1/ChaiChonLungMFSKSM2006.pdf Chai, Chon Lung (2006) Finding kernel function for stock market prediction with support vector regression. Masters thesis, Universiti Teknologi Malaysia, Faculty of Computer Science and Information System.
spellingShingle QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
Chai, Chon Lung
Finding kernel function for stock market prediction with support vector regression
title Finding kernel function for stock market prediction with support vector regression
title_full Finding kernel function for stock market prediction with support vector regression
title_fullStr Finding kernel function for stock market prediction with support vector regression
title_full_unstemmed Finding kernel function for stock market prediction with support vector regression
title_short Finding kernel function for stock market prediction with support vector regression
title_sort finding kernel function for stock market prediction with support vector regression
topic QA75 Electronic computers. Computer science
url http://eprints.utm.my/3974/
http://eprints.utm.my/3974/1/ChaiChonLungMFSKSM2006.pdf