Generalised additive model of DIR based on region, monsoon and state in Peninsular Malaysia

A generalised additive model (GAM) framework for dengue incidence rate (DIR) as a response in Peninsular Malaysia for three areas which as region, monsoon and state has been adopted in this study. A spatio-temporal series of 1296 observations with the following explanatory variables; state, latitude...

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Main Authors: Che Him, Norziha, Yusof, Yusliandy, Samat, Nor Azah
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: 2019
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/873/
http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/873/1/DNJ9790_99b58541e909ba41ff48203e38f14385.pdf
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author Che Him, Norziha
Yusof, Yusliandy
Samat, Nor Azah
author_facet Che Him, Norziha
Yusof, Yusliandy
Samat, Nor Azah
author_sort Che Him, Norziha
building UTHM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description A generalised additive model (GAM) framework for dengue incidence rate (DIR) as a response in Peninsular Malaysia for three areas which as region, monsoon and state has been adopted in this study. A spatio-temporal series of 1296 observations with the following explanatory variables; state, latitude and longitude of state capital, land area of state, year, month, total dengue cases, estimated state population pertaining to the year, population density of state, maximum, minimum and average monthly rainfall, maximum, minimum and average monthly temperature, monthly number of rainy days and Nino 4. Result presents three basis model with statistically significant explanatory variables consist of mean rainfall (current month and lag 3-month), mean temperature (current month and lag 1-month), number of rainy day (current month and lag 3-month), Nino 4 (lag 6-month), DIR (lag 3-month) and interaction between temperature lag 1-month and Nino 4 (lag 6-month), population, population density, year, month, monsoon area, state and region. Model 1, Model 2 and Model 3 with the lowest deviance, AIC and BIC are the best models of DIR that successfully developed for three areas mentioned.
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spelling uthm-8732021-10-17T07:04:22Z http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/873/ Generalised additive model of DIR based on region, monsoon and state in Peninsular Malaysia Che Him, Norziha Yusof, Yusliandy Samat, Nor Azah RC Internal medicine A generalised additive model (GAM) framework for dengue incidence rate (DIR) as a response in Peninsular Malaysia for three areas which as region, monsoon and state has been adopted in this study. A spatio-temporal series of 1296 observations with the following explanatory variables; state, latitude and longitude of state capital, land area of state, year, month, total dengue cases, estimated state population pertaining to the year, population density of state, maximum, minimum and average monthly rainfall, maximum, minimum and average monthly temperature, monthly number of rainy days and Nino 4. Result presents three basis model with statistically significant explanatory variables consist of mean rainfall (current month and lag 3-month), mean temperature (current month and lag 1-month), number of rainy day (current month and lag 3-month), Nino 4 (lag 6-month), DIR (lag 3-month) and interaction between temperature lag 1-month and Nino 4 (lag 6-month), population, population density, year, month, monsoon area, state and region. Model 1, Model 2 and Model 3 with the lowest deviance, AIC and BIC are the best models of DIR that successfully developed for three areas mentioned. 2019 Article PeerReviewed text en http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/873/1/DNJ9790_99b58541e909ba41ff48203e38f14385.pdf Che Him, Norziha and Yusof, Yusliandy and Samat, Nor Azah (2019) Generalised additive model of DIR based on region, monsoon and state in Peninsular Malaysia. Jour of Adv Research in Dynamical & Control Systems, 11 (12). pp. 228-234.
spellingShingle RC Internal medicine
Che Him, Norziha
Yusof, Yusliandy
Samat, Nor Azah
Generalised additive model of DIR based on region, monsoon and state in Peninsular Malaysia
title Generalised additive model of DIR based on region, monsoon and state in Peninsular Malaysia
title_full Generalised additive model of DIR based on region, monsoon and state in Peninsular Malaysia
title_fullStr Generalised additive model of DIR based on region, monsoon and state in Peninsular Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed Generalised additive model of DIR based on region, monsoon and state in Peninsular Malaysia
title_short Generalised additive model of DIR based on region, monsoon and state in Peninsular Malaysia
title_sort generalised additive model of dir based on region, monsoon and state in peninsular malaysia
topic RC Internal medicine
url http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/873/
http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/873/1/DNJ9790_99b58541e909ba41ff48203e38f14385.pdf