Treatment of outlier using interpolation method in Malaysia tourist arrivals

The presence of outliers is an example of aberrant data that can have huge negative influence on statistical method under the assumption of normality and it affects the estimation. This paper introduces an alternative method as outlier treatment in time series which is interpolation. It compares two...

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Main Authors: Nor, Maria Elena, Wahir, Norsoraya Azurin, Khuneswari, G. P., Rusiman, Mohd Saifullah
Format: Article
Published: Science Publishing Corporation 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/5548/
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author Nor, Maria Elena
Wahir, Norsoraya Azurin
Khuneswari, G. P.
Rusiman, Mohd Saifullah
author_facet Nor, Maria Elena
Wahir, Norsoraya Azurin
Khuneswari, G. P.
Rusiman, Mohd Saifullah
author_sort Nor, Maria Elena
building UTHM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description The presence of outliers is an example of aberrant data that can have huge negative influence on statistical method under the assumption of normality and it affects the estimation. This paper introduces an alternative method as outlier treatment in time series which is interpolation. It compares two interpolation methods using performance indicator. Assuming outlier as a missing value in the data allows the application of the interpolation method to interpolate the missing value, thus comparing the result using the forecast accuracy. The monthly time series data from January 1998 until December 2015 of Malaysia Tourist Arrivals were used to deal with outliers. The results found that the cubic spline interpolation method gave the best result than the linear interpolation and the improved time series data indicated better performance in forecasting rather than the original time series data of Box-Jenkins model.
first_indexed 2025-11-15T20:12:32Z
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institution Universiti Tun Hussein Onn Malaysia
institution_category Local University
last_indexed 2025-11-15T20:12:32Z
publishDate 2018
publisher Science Publishing Corporation
recordtype eprints
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spelling uthm-55482022-01-13T07:53:58Z http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/5548/ Treatment of outlier using interpolation method in Malaysia tourist arrivals Nor, Maria Elena Wahir, Norsoraya Azurin Khuneswari, G. P. Rusiman, Mohd Saifullah HD28-70 Management. Industrial Management The presence of outliers is an example of aberrant data that can have huge negative influence on statistical method under the assumption of normality and it affects the estimation. This paper introduces an alternative method as outlier treatment in time series which is interpolation. It compares two interpolation methods using performance indicator. Assuming outlier as a missing value in the data allows the application of the interpolation method to interpolate the missing value, thus comparing the result using the forecast accuracy. The monthly time series data from January 1998 until December 2015 of Malaysia Tourist Arrivals were used to deal with outliers. The results found that the cubic spline interpolation method gave the best result than the linear interpolation and the improved time series data indicated better performance in forecasting rather than the original time series data of Box-Jenkins model. Science Publishing Corporation 2018 Article PeerReviewed Nor, Maria Elena and Wahir, Norsoraya Azurin and Khuneswari, G. P. and Rusiman, Mohd Saifullah (2018) Treatment of outlier using interpolation method in Malaysia tourist arrivals. International Journal of Engineering & Technology, 7 (7.3). pp. 51-53. ISSN 2227-524X http://dx.doi.org/10.14419/ijet.v7i3.7.16207
spellingShingle HD28-70 Management. Industrial Management
Nor, Maria Elena
Wahir, Norsoraya Azurin
Khuneswari, G. P.
Rusiman, Mohd Saifullah
Treatment of outlier using interpolation method in Malaysia tourist arrivals
title Treatment of outlier using interpolation method in Malaysia tourist arrivals
title_full Treatment of outlier using interpolation method in Malaysia tourist arrivals
title_fullStr Treatment of outlier using interpolation method in Malaysia tourist arrivals
title_full_unstemmed Treatment of outlier using interpolation method in Malaysia tourist arrivals
title_short Treatment of outlier using interpolation method in Malaysia tourist arrivals
title_sort treatment of outlier using interpolation method in malaysia tourist arrivals
topic HD28-70 Management. Industrial Management
url http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/5548/
http://eprints.uthm.edu.my/5548/