Sales forecasting in the fashion retail industry using machine learning techniques

This project focuses on developing a sales forecasting system for the fashion retail industry to solve some problem including feature selection, algorithm limitations, and data visibility. Traditional statistical methods like SARIMA and Holt-Winters, along with machine learning techniques like LSTM,...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Beh, Chi Qian
Format: Final Year Project / Dissertation / Thesis
Published: 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.utar.edu.my/7020/
http://eprints.utar.edu.my/7020/1/fyp_IB_2024_BCQ.pdf
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author Beh, Chi Qian
author_facet Beh, Chi Qian
author_sort Beh, Chi Qian
building UTAR Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description This project focuses on developing a sales forecasting system for the fashion retail industry to solve some problem including feature selection, algorithm limitations, and data visibility. Traditional statistical methods like SARIMA and Holt-Winters, along with machine learning techniques like LSTM, Prophet, and XGBoost, are evaluated for their effectiveness in sales forecasting. Data preprocessing including differencing and transformation are applied to ensure data stationarity, while feature engineering enhances model performance. Both daily and monthly forecasts have been developed and performance metrics show that the daily forecasts are more accurate than the monthly forecasts. Out of these models, XGBoost shows the best result compared to other models with the lowest forecast error and closest alignment with actual sales data. It also has been chosen for further analysis and deployment in the forecasting system. The findings derived from this project are useful in understanding the practice of machine learning tools in the sales forecasting of the fashion retail business and the role of model selection and preprocessing of data in enhancing the forecast results. In order to help users make informed decisions, the chosen model will be implemented into a web application that lets them input dates and evaluate prediction results.
first_indexed 2025-11-15T19:44:41Z
format Final Year Project / Dissertation / Thesis
id utar-7020
institution Universiti Tunku Abdul Rahman
institution_category Local University
last_indexed 2025-11-15T19:44:41Z
publishDate 2024
recordtype eprints
repository_type Digital Repository
spelling utar-70202025-02-27T07:23:40Z Sales forecasting in the fashion retail industry using machine learning techniques Beh, Chi Qian T Technology (General) TD Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering This project focuses on developing a sales forecasting system for the fashion retail industry to solve some problem including feature selection, algorithm limitations, and data visibility. Traditional statistical methods like SARIMA and Holt-Winters, along with machine learning techniques like LSTM, Prophet, and XGBoost, are evaluated for their effectiveness in sales forecasting. Data preprocessing including differencing and transformation are applied to ensure data stationarity, while feature engineering enhances model performance. Both daily and monthly forecasts have been developed and performance metrics show that the daily forecasts are more accurate than the monthly forecasts. Out of these models, XGBoost shows the best result compared to other models with the lowest forecast error and closest alignment with actual sales data. It also has been chosen for further analysis and deployment in the forecasting system. The findings derived from this project are useful in understanding the practice of machine learning tools in the sales forecasting of the fashion retail business and the role of model selection and preprocessing of data in enhancing the forecast results. In order to help users make informed decisions, the chosen model will be implemented into a web application that lets them input dates and evaluate prediction results. 2024-06 Final Year Project / Dissertation / Thesis NonPeerReviewed application/pdf http://eprints.utar.edu.my/7020/1/fyp_IB_2024_BCQ.pdf Beh, Chi Qian (2024) Sales forecasting in the fashion retail industry using machine learning techniques. Final Year Project, UTAR. http://eprints.utar.edu.my/7020/
spellingShingle T Technology (General)
TD Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
Beh, Chi Qian
Sales forecasting in the fashion retail industry using machine learning techniques
title Sales forecasting in the fashion retail industry using machine learning techniques
title_full Sales forecasting in the fashion retail industry using machine learning techniques
title_fullStr Sales forecasting in the fashion retail industry using machine learning techniques
title_full_unstemmed Sales forecasting in the fashion retail industry using machine learning techniques
title_short Sales forecasting in the fashion retail industry using machine learning techniques
title_sort sales forecasting in the fashion retail industry using machine learning techniques
topic T Technology (General)
TD Environmental technology. Sanitary engineering
url http://eprints.utar.edu.my/7020/
http://eprints.utar.edu.my/7020/1/fyp_IB_2024_BCQ.pdf