Which fundamental analysis ratio(s) is better at predicting future stock price movement?

This paper examines the relationships between stock market returns with 30 companies from Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) as benchmark index and three financial ratios from April 2012 to January 2022 which consists of a quarterly data set of 1200 observations. These three financial ratios are re...

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Main Authors: Ang, Run Bin, Lau, Hou Chun, Yim, Phyllis Kar Yee, Tan, Jun Yan
Format: Final Year Project / Dissertation / Thesis
Published: 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.utar.edu.my/4805/
http://eprints.utar.edu.my/4805/1/fyp_FN_2022_ARB.pdf
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author Ang, Run Bin
Lau, Hou Chun
Yim, Phyllis Kar Yee
Tan, Jun Yan
author_facet Ang, Run Bin
Lau, Hou Chun
Yim, Phyllis Kar Yee
Tan, Jun Yan
author_sort Ang, Run Bin
building UTAR Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description This paper examines the relationships between stock market returns with 30 companies from Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) as benchmark index and three financial ratios from April 2012 to January 2022 which consists of a quarterly data set of 1200 observations. These three financial ratios are return-on-equity ratio (ROE), price-earnings ratio (PE) and dividend yield ratio (DY) being applied as independent variables. This paper employs Pooled Mean Group (PMG) to compute statistical results and determine long run relationships. Before that, some preliminary tests such as Panel Unit Root test and Cointegration test will be tested for stationary level in order to conduct PMG. Additionally, this paper investigates the short run dynamic by using Dumitrescu Hurlin (DH) test to explain the relevant independent variables in terms of causality effects. Based on the results, it indicates that stock market returns are consistently investigated by all of the variables which are ROE, PE and DY in the long run.
first_indexed 2025-11-15T19:35:28Z
format Final Year Project / Dissertation / Thesis
id utar-4805
institution Universiti Tunku Abdul Rahman
institution_category Local University
last_indexed 2025-11-15T19:35:28Z
publishDate 2022
recordtype eprints
repository_type Digital Repository
spelling utar-48052022-12-29T07:24:02Z Which fundamental analysis ratio(s) is better at predicting future stock price movement? Ang, Run Bin Lau, Hou Chun Yim, Phyllis Kar Yee Tan, Jun Yan HB Economic Theory HG Finance T Technology (General) This paper examines the relationships between stock market returns with 30 companies from Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) as benchmark index and three financial ratios from April 2012 to January 2022 which consists of a quarterly data set of 1200 observations. These three financial ratios are return-on-equity ratio (ROE), price-earnings ratio (PE) and dividend yield ratio (DY) being applied as independent variables. This paper employs Pooled Mean Group (PMG) to compute statistical results and determine long run relationships. Before that, some preliminary tests such as Panel Unit Root test and Cointegration test will be tested for stationary level in order to conduct PMG. Additionally, this paper investigates the short run dynamic by using Dumitrescu Hurlin (DH) test to explain the relevant independent variables in terms of causality effects. Based on the results, it indicates that stock market returns are consistently investigated by all of the variables which are ROE, PE and DY in the long run. 2022-09 Final Year Project / Dissertation / Thesis NonPeerReviewed application/pdf http://eprints.utar.edu.my/4805/1/fyp_FN_2022_ARB.pdf Ang, Run Bin and Lau, Hou Chun and Yim, Phyllis Kar Yee and Tan, Jun Yan (2022) Which fundamental analysis ratio(s) is better at predicting future stock price movement? Final Year Project, UTAR. http://eprints.utar.edu.my/4805/
spellingShingle HB Economic Theory
HG Finance
T Technology (General)
Ang, Run Bin
Lau, Hou Chun
Yim, Phyllis Kar Yee
Tan, Jun Yan
Which fundamental analysis ratio(s) is better at predicting future stock price movement?
title Which fundamental analysis ratio(s) is better at predicting future stock price movement?
title_full Which fundamental analysis ratio(s) is better at predicting future stock price movement?
title_fullStr Which fundamental analysis ratio(s) is better at predicting future stock price movement?
title_full_unstemmed Which fundamental analysis ratio(s) is better at predicting future stock price movement?
title_short Which fundamental analysis ratio(s) is better at predicting future stock price movement?
title_sort which fundamental analysis ratio(s) is better at predicting future stock price movement?
topic HB Economic Theory
HG Finance
T Technology (General)
url http://eprints.utar.edu.my/4805/
http://eprints.utar.edu.my/4805/1/fyp_FN_2022_ARB.pdf