An Emppirical Study on Asymmetric Jump Diffusion For Option and Annuity Pricing

In this research, we are presenting a method for estimation of market parameters modeled by jump diffusion process. As we are concerned about the current pricing model with geometric Brownian motion is not sufficient to capture the events of jump spikes. The method proposed is based on the Gibbs sa...

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Main Author: Lau, Kein Joe
Format: Final Year Project / Dissertation / Thesis
Published: 2018
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.utar.edu.my/3613/
http://eprints.utar.edu.my/3613/1/SCA%2D2018%2D1601201%2D1.pdf
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author Lau, Kein Joe
author_facet Lau, Kein Joe
author_sort Lau, Kein Joe
building UTAR Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description In this research, we are presenting a method for estimation of market parameters modeled by jump diffusion process. As we are concerned about the current pricing model with geometric Brownian motion is not sufficient to capture the events of jump spikes. The method proposed is based on the Gibbs sampling method, while the market parameters are the drift, the volatility, the jump intensity and its rate of occurrence.We have demonstrated that Kou's jump diffusion model is insufficient to observe and to identify the effect on jump spike event onto the market indexes as it assumes jumps are symmetrical to each other for both directions. Asymmetric double normal jump diffusion model is introduced, where the jump component is modified into two different directions instead of fusing as one. The empirical method is used to estimate the parameters of asymmetric double normal jump diffusion model from real market history data. Demonstration on how to use these parameters to estimate the fair price of European call option and annuity will be shown, for the situation where the market is modeled by jump diffusion process with different intensity and occurrence. The results arecompared to conventional options to observe the impact of jump effects. In conclusion, the proposed asymmetric double normal jump diffusion model able to capture the jump distribution of underlying assets in two directions. It can be applied into the pricing model of both European call option and annuity.
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format Final Year Project / Dissertation / Thesis
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institution Universiti Tunku Abdul Rahman
institution_category Local University
last_indexed 2025-11-15T19:30:40Z
publishDate 2018
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spelling utar-36132019-12-05T06:10:54Z An Emppirical Study on Asymmetric Jump Diffusion For Option and Annuity Pricing Lau, Kein Joe QA Mathematics TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General) In this research, we are presenting a method for estimation of market parameters modeled by jump diffusion process. As we are concerned about the current pricing model with geometric Brownian motion is not sufficient to capture the events of jump spikes. The method proposed is based on the Gibbs sampling method, while the market parameters are the drift, the volatility, the jump intensity and its rate of occurrence.We have demonstrated that Kou's jump diffusion model is insufficient to observe and to identify the effect on jump spike event onto the market indexes as it assumes jumps are symmetrical to each other for both directions. Asymmetric double normal jump diffusion model is introduced, where the jump component is modified into two different directions instead of fusing as one. The empirical method is used to estimate the parameters of asymmetric double normal jump diffusion model from real market history data. Demonstration on how to use these parameters to estimate the fair price of European call option and annuity will be shown, for the situation where the market is modeled by jump diffusion process with different intensity and occurrence. The results arecompared to conventional options to observe the impact of jump effects. In conclusion, the proposed asymmetric double normal jump diffusion model able to capture the jump distribution of underlying assets in two directions. It can be applied into the pricing model of both European call option and annuity. 2018 Final Year Project / Dissertation / Thesis NonPeerReviewed application/pdf http://eprints.utar.edu.my/3613/1/SCA%2D2018%2D1601201%2D1.pdf Lau, Kein Joe (2018) An Emppirical Study on Asymmetric Jump Diffusion For Option and Annuity Pricing. Master dissertation/thesis, UTAR. http://eprints.utar.edu.my/3613/
spellingShingle QA Mathematics
TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
Lau, Kein Joe
An Emppirical Study on Asymmetric Jump Diffusion For Option and Annuity Pricing
title An Emppirical Study on Asymmetric Jump Diffusion For Option and Annuity Pricing
title_full An Emppirical Study on Asymmetric Jump Diffusion For Option and Annuity Pricing
title_fullStr An Emppirical Study on Asymmetric Jump Diffusion For Option and Annuity Pricing
title_full_unstemmed An Emppirical Study on Asymmetric Jump Diffusion For Option and Annuity Pricing
title_short An Emppirical Study on Asymmetric Jump Diffusion For Option and Annuity Pricing
title_sort emppirical study on asymmetric jump diffusion for option and annuity pricing
topic QA Mathematics
TA Engineering (General). Civil engineering (General)
url http://eprints.utar.edu.my/3613/
http://eprints.utar.edu.my/3613/1/SCA%2D2018%2D1601201%2D1.pdf