Institutional Investors Trading Strategy In Indonesia’s Government Bond Market During The 2008 Crisis

The importance of government bonds in covering shortages in a government’s budget is inseparable from the market players’ role in the government bond market. In this study, we examine whether institutional investors’ behaviour had causal effects on the government bond market index from April 2008...

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Main Authors: Gusdinar , Isabelle Aranditha, Koesrindartoto, Deddy Priatmodjo
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Asian Academy of Management (AAM) 2014
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.usm.my/39941/
http://eprints.usm.my/39941/1/AAMJAF_10-1-2-G1_%2821-44%29.pdf
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author Gusdinar , Isabelle Aranditha
Koesrindartoto, Deddy Priatmodjo
author_facet Gusdinar , Isabelle Aranditha
Koesrindartoto, Deddy Priatmodjo
author_sort Gusdinar , Isabelle Aranditha
building USM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description The importance of government bonds in covering shortages in a government’s budget is inseparable from the market players’ role in the government bond market. In this study, we examine whether institutional investors’ behaviour had causal effects on the government bond market index from April 2008 to April 2009. Moreover, we also observe whether foreign, bank, non-bank and central bank investors exhibit similar strategies in their bond trading activities. Granger causality tests and a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) methodology have indicated that foreign investors become market leaders and tend to hold long-tenor bonds during crises to maintain an optimal level of risk in their portfolio. This also shows that foreign investors tend to hold the fall of index. Another result shows that both foreign and non-bank investors become market leaders who influence the bond market index and have similar trading strategies in the aftercrisis period. Meanwhile, the central banks become foreign investors’ and non-bank investors’ trade counterparts to provide liquidity and stabilise the bond price. Moreover, the results indicate that bank investors become the market makers in the bond market.
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spelling usm-399412018-04-05T04:38:42Z http://eprints.usm.my/39941/ Institutional Investors Trading Strategy In Indonesia’s Government Bond Market During The 2008 Crisis Gusdinar , Isabelle Aranditha Koesrindartoto, Deddy Priatmodjo HD28-70 Management. Industrial Management The importance of government bonds in covering shortages in a government’s budget is inseparable from the market players’ role in the government bond market. In this study, we examine whether institutional investors’ behaviour had causal effects on the government bond market index from April 2008 to April 2009. Moreover, we also observe whether foreign, bank, non-bank and central bank investors exhibit similar strategies in their bond trading activities. Granger causality tests and a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) methodology have indicated that foreign investors become market leaders and tend to hold long-tenor bonds during crises to maintain an optimal level of risk in their portfolio. This also shows that foreign investors tend to hold the fall of index. Another result shows that both foreign and non-bank investors become market leaders who influence the bond market index and have similar trading strategies in the aftercrisis period. Meanwhile, the central banks become foreign investors’ and non-bank investors’ trade counterparts to provide liquidity and stabilise the bond price. Moreover, the results indicate that bank investors become the market makers in the bond market. Asian Academy of Management (AAM) 2014 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://eprints.usm.my/39941/1/AAMJAF_10-1-2-G1_%2821-44%29.pdf Gusdinar , Isabelle Aranditha and Koesrindartoto, Deddy Priatmodjo (2014) Institutional Investors Trading Strategy In Indonesia’s Government Bond Market During The 2008 Crisis. Asian Academy of Management Journal of Accounting and Finance, 10 (1). pp. 1-24. ISSN 1823-4992 http://web.usm.my/journal/aamjaf/10-1-2-2014.html
spellingShingle HD28-70 Management. Industrial Management
Gusdinar , Isabelle Aranditha
Koesrindartoto, Deddy Priatmodjo
Institutional Investors Trading Strategy In Indonesia’s Government Bond Market During The 2008 Crisis
title Institutional Investors Trading Strategy In Indonesia’s Government Bond Market During The 2008 Crisis
title_full Institutional Investors Trading Strategy In Indonesia’s Government Bond Market During The 2008 Crisis
title_fullStr Institutional Investors Trading Strategy In Indonesia’s Government Bond Market During The 2008 Crisis
title_full_unstemmed Institutional Investors Trading Strategy In Indonesia’s Government Bond Market During The 2008 Crisis
title_short Institutional Investors Trading Strategy In Indonesia’s Government Bond Market During The 2008 Crisis
title_sort institutional investors trading strategy in indonesia’s government bond market during the 2008 crisis
topic HD28-70 Management. Industrial Management
url http://eprints.usm.my/39941/
http://eprints.usm.my/39941/
http://eprints.usm.my/39941/1/AAMJAF_10-1-2-G1_%2821-44%29.pdf