Air pollution index prediction using multiple neural networks

Air quality monitoring and forecasting tools are necessary for the purpose of taking precautionary measures against air pollution, such as reducing the effect of a predicted air pollution peak on the surrounding population and ecosystem. In this study a single Feed-forward Artificial Neural Network...

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Main Authors: Ahmad, Zainal, Rahim, Nazira Aniza, Bahadori, Alireza, Jie, Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IIUM Press, International Islamic University Malaysia 2017
Subjects:
Online Access:http://eprints.usm.my/38274/
http://eprints.usm.my/38274/1/AIR_POLLUITON_INDEX_PREDICTION_USING_MULTIPLE_NEURAL_NETWORKS.pdf
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author Ahmad, Zainal
Rahim, Nazira Aniza
Bahadori, Alireza
Jie, Zhang
author_facet Ahmad, Zainal
Rahim, Nazira Aniza
Bahadori, Alireza
Jie, Zhang
author_sort Ahmad, Zainal
building USM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Air quality monitoring and forecasting tools are necessary for the purpose of taking precautionary measures against air pollution, such as reducing the effect of a predicted air pollution peak on the surrounding population and ecosystem. In this study a single Feed-forward Artificial Neural Network (FANN) is shown to be able to predict the Air Pollution Index (API) with a Mean Squared Error (MSE) and coefficient determination, R2, of 0.1856 and 0.7950 respectively. However, due to the non-robust nature of single FANN, a selective combination of Multiple Neural Networks (MNN) is introduced using backward elimination and a forward selection method. The results show that both selective combination methods can improve the robustness and performance of the API prediction with the MSE and R2 of 0.1614 and 0.8210 respectively. This clearly shows that it is possible to reduce the number of networks combined in MNN for API prediction, without losses of any information in terms of the performance of the final API prediction model.
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spelling usm-382742018-01-08T02:08:49Z http://eprints.usm.my/38274/ Air pollution index prediction using multiple neural networks Ahmad, Zainal Rahim, Nazira Aniza Bahadori, Alireza Jie, Zhang TP155-156 Chemical engineering Air quality monitoring and forecasting tools are necessary for the purpose of taking precautionary measures against air pollution, such as reducing the effect of a predicted air pollution peak on the surrounding population and ecosystem. In this study a single Feed-forward Artificial Neural Network (FANN) is shown to be able to predict the Air Pollution Index (API) with a Mean Squared Error (MSE) and coefficient determination, R2, of 0.1856 and 0.7950 respectively. However, due to the non-robust nature of single FANN, a selective combination of Multiple Neural Networks (MNN) is introduced using backward elimination and a forward selection method. The results show that both selective combination methods can improve the robustness and performance of the API prediction with the MSE and R2 of 0.1614 and 0.8210 respectively. This clearly shows that it is possible to reduce the number of networks combined in MNN for API prediction, without losses of any information in terms of the performance of the final API prediction model. IIUM Press, International Islamic University Malaysia 2017 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://eprints.usm.my/38274/1/AIR_POLLUITON_INDEX_PREDICTION_USING_MULTIPLE_NEURAL_NETWORKS.pdf Ahmad, Zainal and Rahim, Nazira Aniza and Bahadori, Alireza and Jie, Zhang (2017) Air pollution index prediction using multiple neural networks. International Islamic University Malaysia Engineering Journal, 18 (1). pp. 1-12. ISSN 1511-788X http://journals.iium.edu.my/ejournal/index.php/iiumej/article/view/684
spellingShingle TP155-156 Chemical engineering
Ahmad, Zainal
Rahim, Nazira Aniza
Bahadori, Alireza
Jie, Zhang
Air pollution index prediction using multiple neural networks
title Air pollution index prediction using multiple neural networks
title_full Air pollution index prediction using multiple neural networks
title_fullStr Air pollution index prediction using multiple neural networks
title_full_unstemmed Air pollution index prediction using multiple neural networks
title_short Air pollution index prediction using multiple neural networks
title_sort air pollution index prediction using multiple neural networks
topic TP155-156 Chemical engineering
url http://eprints.usm.my/38274/
http://eprints.usm.my/38274/
http://eprints.usm.my/38274/1/AIR_POLLUITON_INDEX_PREDICTION_USING_MULTIPLE_NEURAL_NETWORKS.pdf