Monetary and fiscal policy shocks on the stock market performance in the United States: evidence from the SVAR framework

Evidence from studies of monetary and fiscal policy shocks on the stock market is still arguable not only for researchers but also for central banks and governments. In addition, the interaction between the two policies is very crucial; however, very few studies are available on this topic. In this...

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Main Authors: Emamian, Aref, Mazlan, Nur Syazwani
Format: Article
Published: TuEngr Group 2021
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/94262/
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author Emamian, Aref
Mazlan, Nur Syazwani
author_facet Emamian, Aref
Mazlan, Nur Syazwani
author_sort Emamian, Aref
building UPM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Evidence from studies of monetary and fiscal policy shocks on the stock market is still arguable not only for researchers but also for central banks and governments. In addition, the interaction between the two policies is very crucial; however, very few studies are available on this topic. In this regard, we examined the impact of monetary and fiscal policies shock on the stock market in the United States by utilising the annual data of the U.S. economy from the Federal Reserve, World Bank, and International Monetary Fund from 1980 until 2018. More specifically, we used the Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) framework to examine the dynamic relationship between fiscal and monetary policies and the stock market performance. Our results confirm that the interaction between both policies is crucial in understanding the stock market movements and both policies have a direct impact on the U.S. stock market. In the interpretation of stock market performance, the incorporation of the fiscal policy parameter does not add any significant values, suggesting that there is no significant difference when fiscal policy is removed from the model.
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spelling upm-942622023-05-08T04:16:03Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/94262/ Monetary and fiscal policy shocks on the stock market performance in the United States: evidence from the SVAR framework Emamian, Aref Mazlan, Nur Syazwani Evidence from studies of monetary and fiscal policy shocks on the stock market is still arguable not only for researchers but also for central banks and governments. In addition, the interaction between the two policies is very crucial; however, very few studies are available on this topic. In this regard, we examined the impact of monetary and fiscal policies shock on the stock market in the United States by utilising the annual data of the U.S. economy from the Federal Reserve, World Bank, and International Monetary Fund from 1980 until 2018. More specifically, we used the Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) framework to examine the dynamic relationship between fiscal and monetary policies and the stock market performance. Our results confirm that the interaction between both policies is crucial in understanding the stock market movements and both policies have a direct impact on the U.S. stock market. In the interpretation of stock market performance, the incorporation of the fiscal policy parameter does not add any significant values, suggesting that there is no significant difference when fiscal policy is removed from the model. TuEngr Group 2021-09 Article PeerReviewed Emamian, Aref and Mazlan, Nur Syazwani (2021) Monetary and fiscal policy shocks on the stock market performance in the United States: evidence from the SVAR framework. International Transaction Journal of Engineering, Management, & Applied Sciences & Technologies, 12 (12). art. no. 12A12F. pp. 1-13. ISSN 2228-9860; ESSN: 1906-9642 https://tuengr.com/A12/12A12/12A12F.html 10.14456/ITJEMAST.2021.237
spellingShingle Emamian, Aref
Mazlan, Nur Syazwani
Monetary and fiscal policy shocks on the stock market performance in the United States: evidence from the SVAR framework
title Monetary and fiscal policy shocks on the stock market performance in the United States: evidence from the SVAR framework
title_full Monetary and fiscal policy shocks on the stock market performance in the United States: evidence from the SVAR framework
title_fullStr Monetary and fiscal policy shocks on the stock market performance in the United States: evidence from the SVAR framework
title_full_unstemmed Monetary and fiscal policy shocks on the stock market performance in the United States: evidence from the SVAR framework
title_short Monetary and fiscal policy shocks on the stock market performance in the United States: evidence from the SVAR framework
title_sort monetary and fiscal policy shocks on the stock market performance in the united states: evidence from the svar framework
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/94262/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/94262/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/94262/