Asymmetric adjustments in the thai palm oil market

Drastic movements of global commodity prices and their impact on the Thai palm oil market is a major concern due to Thailand being the third largest producer of crude palm oil (CPO). Although the country is not a net importer, global price changes of the commodity can transmit to domestic markets fo...

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Main Authors: Songsiengchai, Patchaya, Sidique, Shaufique Fahmi, Djama, Marcel, Wan Ngah, Wan Azman Saini
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Kasetsart University 2020
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/87982/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/87982/1/ABSTRACT.pdf
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author Songsiengchai, Patchaya
Sidique, Shaufique Fahmi
Djama, Marcel
Wan Ngah, Wan Azman Saini
author_facet Songsiengchai, Patchaya
Sidique, Shaufique Fahmi
Djama, Marcel
Wan Ngah, Wan Azman Saini
author_sort Songsiengchai, Patchaya
building UPM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Drastic movements of global commodity prices and their impact on the Thai palm oil market is a major concern due to Thailand being the third largest producer of crude palm oil (CPO). Although the country is not a net importer, global price changes of the commodity can transmit to domestic markets for palm oil products. This paper analyzed the transmission of Malaysian CPO and world crude oil price changes to the changes in the Thai CPO price using an asymmetric error correction model. The price data used in this paper covers the period from January 1996 to September 2015. The findings showed that the speed of adjustments towards long-run equilibrium were asymmetric and the effects of the world prices on Thai CPO price were significant in both positive and negative deviations. This result calls for policy measures to mitigate the impact of global price movements because CPO is an essential intermediate input in various products and any changes in the Thai CPO price definitely affects the welfare of domestic consumers.
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spelling upm-879822022-05-24T07:40:19Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/87982/ Asymmetric adjustments in the thai palm oil market Songsiengchai, Patchaya Sidique, Shaufique Fahmi Djama, Marcel Wan Ngah, Wan Azman Saini Drastic movements of global commodity prices and their impact on the Thai palm oil market is a major concern due to Thailand being the third largest producer of crude palm oil (CPO). Although the country is not a net importer, global price changes of the commodity can transmit to domestic markets for palm oil products. This paper analyzed the transmission of Malaysian CPO and world crude oil price changes to the changes in the Thai CPO price using an asymmetric error correction model. The price data used in this paper covers the period from January 1996 to September 2015. The findings showed that the speed of adjustments towards long-run equilibrium were asymmetric and the effects of the world prices on Thai CPO price were significant in both positive and negative deviations. This result calls for policy measures to mitigate the impact of global price movements because CPO is an essential intermediate input in various products and any changes in the Thai CPO price definitely affects the welfare of domestic consumers. Kasetsart University 2020 Article PeerReviewed text en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/87982/1/ABSTRACT.pdf Songsiengchai, Patchaya and Sidique, Shaufique Fahmi and Djama, Marcel and Wan Ngah, Wan Azman Saini (2020) Asymmetric adjustments in the thai palm oil market. Kasetsart Journal - Social Sciences, 41 (1). 220 - 225. ISSN 2452-3151 https://so04.tci-thaijo.org/index.php/kjss/article/view/231630 10.1016/j.kjss.2018.05.0182452-3151
spellingShingle Songsiengchai, Patchaya
Sidique, Shaufique Fahmi
Djama, Marcel
Wan Ngah, Wan Azman Saini
Asymmetric adjustments in the thai palm oil market
title Asymmetric adjustments in the thai palm oil market
title_full Asymmetric adjustments in the thai palm oil market
title_fullStr Asymmetric adjustments in the thai palm oil market
title_full_unstemmed Asymmetric adjustments in the thai palm oil market
title_short Asymmetric adjustments in the thai palm oil market
title_sort asymmetric adjustments in the thai palm oil market
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/87982/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/87982/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/87982/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/87982/1/ABSTRACT.pdf