Money-output granger non causality in a small open economy : Malaysian experience

The monetary expansion policy together with policy responses to development by the authorities to a much greater extent during the period of study (1976-1996) have resulted the causality running from money to output. Since we find that Ml has strongly influenced output, it is suggests that the au...

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Main Author: Abdul Rahman, Kamaludin
Format: Thesis
Language:English
Published: 2000
Subjects:
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/85018/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/85018/1/FEP%202000%2011%20IR.pdf
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author Abdul Rahman, Kamaludin
author_facet Abdul Rahman, Kamaludin
author_sort Abdul Rahman, Kamaludin
building UPM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description The monetary expansion policy together with policy responses to development by the authorities to a much greater extent during the period of study (1976-1996) have resulted the causality running from money to output. Since we find that Ml has strongly influenced output, it is suggests that the authorities may use Ml as intermediate target for output growth without giving much pressure on price in the long-run. We also find that Ml is suitable intermediate target for maintaining price stability to curb inflation in the long-run. Strong Ml causal linkages on output is consistent with the huge amount of non performing loans and large inflows of FDI in Malaysia which both finally created excessive demand for money in the period of study. In the case of M2, it does not have any causal linkages with output as this findings support the monetary neutrality theory where M2 is found to be neutral in the long-run. From this study we conclude that monetary targeting is still a relevant policy amid the fast changing world, however, there must be in harmony with other policy (e.g. trade, fiscal and exchange rate policy) to achieve sustainable economic growth with price stability and external equilibrium.
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spelling upm-850182021-04-07T03:07:55Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/85018/ Money-output granger non causality in a small open economy : Malaysian experience Abdul Rahman, Kamaludin The monetary expansion policy together with policy responses to development by the authorities to a much greater extent during the period of study (1976-1996) have resulted the causality running from money to output. Since we find that Ml has strongly influenced output, it is suggests that the authorities may use Ml as intermediate target for output growth without giving much pressure on price in the long-run. We also find that Ml is suitable intermediate target for maintaining price stability to curb inflation in the long-run. Strong Ml causal linkages on output is consistent with the huge amount of non performing loans and large inflows of FDI in Malaysia which both finally created excessive demand for money in the period of study. In the case of M2, it does not have any causal linkages with output as this findings support the monetary neutrality theory where M2 is found to be neutral in the long-run. From this study we conclude that monetary targeting is still a relevant policy amid the fast changing world, however, there must be in harmony with other policy (e.g. trade, fiscal and exchange rate policy) to achieve sustainable economic growth with price stability and external equilibrium. 2000-10 Thesis NonPeerReviewed text en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/85018/1/FEP%202000%2011%20IR.pdf Abdul Rahman, Kamaludin (2000) Money-output granger non causality in a small open economy : Malaysian experience. Masters thesis, Universiti Putra Malaysia. Monetary policy - Malaysia Malaysia - Economic conditions
spellingShingle Monetary policy - Malaysia
Malaysia - Economic conditions
Abdul Rahman, Kamaludin
Money-output granger non causality in a small open economy : Malaysian experience
title Money-output granger non causality in a small open economy : Malaysian experience
title_full Money-output granger non causality in a small open economy : Malaysian experience
title_fullStr Money-output granger non causality in a small open economy : Malaysian experience
title_full_unstemmed Money-output granger non causality in a small open economy : Malaysian experience
title_short Money-output granger non causality in a small open economy : Malaysian experience
title_sort money-output granger non causality in a small open economy : malaysian experience
topic Monetary policy - Malaysia
Malaysia - Economic conditions
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/85018/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/85018/1/FEP%202000%2011%20IR.pdf