Impact of fuel prices on paddy farmer's expenditure allocation in Malaysia

The international price increase in fuel and food has direct impact on production cost and domestic prices. Fuel and fertilizers are agricultural inputs in paddy production. Fuel is needed for operating paddy machineries such as tractors and harvesters, while fertilizers are important for keeping th...

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Main Authors: Baharudin, Siti Aisyah, Mohamed Arshad, Fatimah, Muhammad Tasrif, Ibragimov, Abdulla
Format: Conference or Workshop Item
Language:English
Published: Panoply Consultancy 2015
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/64952/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/64952/1/ICARBSS%202015-1.pdf
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author Baharudin, Siti Aisyah
Mohamed Arshad, Fatimah
Muhammad Tasrif
Ibragimov, Abdulla
author_facet Baharudin, Siti Aisyah
Mohamed Arshad, Fatimah
Muhammad Tasrif
Ibragimov, Abdulla
author_sort Baharudin, Siti Aisyah
building UPM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description The international price increase in fuel and food has direct impact on production cost and domestic prices. Fuel and fertilizers are agricultural inputs in paddy production. Fuel is needed for operating paddy machineries such as tractors and harvesters, while fertilizers are important for keeping the soil for paddy crop fertile. Increment in fuel prices will affect paddy productivity and farmer’s expenditure. Farmer’s expenditure includes fuel (petrol and diesel), input (fertilizer, pesticides and seed) and labour cost. (i) What is the current behaviour of paddy expenditure in 1990 to 2015? (ii) What is the future trend of farmer’s expenditure under the fuel price change in 2016 to 2030? (iii) How the farmer’s will decide to allocate their expenditure on inputs under the different world fuel price rate? The situation requires one to seek a methodology that could explain the complexity of the system and to establish an insight on the interrelation of the key variables. The system dynamics model provides a framework for understanding the impact of fuel price change on farmer’s expenditure. Simulation result show domestic fuel price will follow world’s crude oil price trend with the increasing by 40% in 2030 with the average of 3.8% per year. Meanwhile, expenditure of paddy increase by 3.8. However, the share of fuel and fertilizer is about 45% of the total expenditure as fuel price could indirectly affect the price of fertilizer. Indirect effect is greater than direct effect on farmer’s expenditure.
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format Conference or Workshop Item
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institution Universiti Putra Malaysia
institution_category Local University
language English
last_indexed 2025-11-15T11:21:09Z
publishDate 2015
publisher Panoply Consultancy
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spelling upm-649522018-09-03T04:03:01Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/64952/ Impact of fuel prices on paddy farmer's expenditure allocation in Malaysia Baharudin, Siti Aisyah Mohamed Arshad, Fatimah Muhammad Tasrif Ibragimov, Abdulla The international price increase in fuel and food has direct impact on production cost and domestic prices. Fuel and fertilizers are agricultural inputs in paddy production. Fuel is needed for operating paddy machineries such as tractors and harvesters, while fertilizers are important for keeping the soil for paddy crop fertile. Increment in fuel prices will affect paddy productivity and farmer’s expenditure. Farmer’s expenditure includes fuel (petrol and diesel), input (fertilizer, pesticides and seed) and labour cost. (i) What is the current behaviour of paddy expenditure in 1990 to 2015? (ii) What is the future trend of farmer’s expenditure under the fuel price change in 2016 to 2030? (iii) How the farmer’s will decide to allocate their expenditure on inputs under the different world fuel price rate? The situation requires one to seek a methodology that could explain the complexity of the system and to establish an insight on the interrelation of the key variables. The system dynamics model provides a framework for understanding the impact of fuel price change on farmer’s expenditure. Simulation result show domestic fuel price will follow world’s crude oil price trend with the increasing by 40% in 2030 with the average of 3.8% per year. Meanwhile, expenditure of paddy increase by 3.8. However, the share of fuel and fertilizer is about 45% of the total expenditure as fuel price could indirectly affect the price of fertilizer. Indirect effect is greater than direct effect on farmer’s expenditure. Panoply Consultancy 2015 Conference or Workshop Item PeerReviewed text en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/64952/1/ICARBSS%202015-1.pdf Baharudin, Siti Aisyah and Mohamed Arshad, Fatimah and Muhammad Tasrif and Ibragimov, Abdulla (2015) Impact of fuel prices on paddy farmer's expenditure allocation in Malaysia. In: International Conference on Advanced Research in Business and Social Sciences 2015 (ICARBSS 2015), 2-3 Sept. 2015, Kuala Lumpur Convention Centre, Malaysia. (pp. 172-182).
spellingShingle Baharudin, Siti Aisyah
Mohamed Arshad, Fatimah
Muhammad Tasrif
Ibragimov, Abdulla
Impact of fuel prices on paddy farmer's expenditure allocation in Malaysia
title Impact of fuel prices on paddy farmer's expenditure allocation in Malaysia
title_full Impact of fuel prices on paddy farmer's expenditure allocation in Malaysia
title_fullStr Impact of fuel prices on paddy farmer's expenditure allocation in Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed Impact of fuel prices on paddy farmer's expenditure allocation in Malaysia
title_short Impact of fuel prices on paddy farmer's expenditure allocation in Malaysia
title_sort impact of fuel prices on paddy farmer's expenditure allocation in malaysia
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/64952/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/64952/1/ICARBSS%202015-1.pdf