Measuring the economic impacts of recent oil price shocks on oil dependent economy evidence from Malaysia

This paper examines the economy-wide impacts of recent oil price shocks on the Malaysian economy. To achieve this objective, an integrated methodological framework that combines econometric and input–output models is utilized to assess the impacts of an oil price shock on tax revenues, employment, l...

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Main Authors: Maji, Ibrahim Kabiru, Saari, Mohd Yusof, Habibullah, Muzafar Shah, Utit, Chakrin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis 2017
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/62373/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/62373/1/Measuring%20the%20economic%20impacts%20of%20recent%20oil%20price%20shocks%20on%20oil-dependent%20economy.pdf
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author Maji, Ibrahim Kabiru
Saari, Mohd Yusof
Habibullah, Muzafar Shah
Utit, Chakrin
author_facet Maji, Ibrahim Kabiru
Saari, Mohd Yusof
Habibullah, Muzafar Shah
Utit, Chakrin
author_sort Maji, Ibrahim Kabiru
building UPM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description This paper examines the economy-wide impacts of recent oil price shocks on the Malaysian economy. To achieve this objective, an integrated methodological framework that combines econometric and input–output models is utilized to assess the impacts of an oil price shock on tax revenues, employment, labor income and gross domestic product (GDP). Our results reveal that the recent oil price shocks significantly affects these macroeconomic variables. The decline in oil prices from 2015 to 2016 reduces tax revenues by 10.5%, lower GDP by 1.9% and increases the unemployment rate by 0.3%. As such, the sharp crunch in oil prices serves as a reminder to policymakers on the vulnerability inherent in overreliance on oil exports and the urgent need to diversify the economy.
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spelling upm-623732020-01-08T03:23:29Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/62373/ Measuring the economic impacts of recent oil price shocks on oil dependent economy evidence from Malaysia Maji, Ibrahim Kabiru Saari, Mohd Yusof Habibullah, Muzafar Shah Utit, Chakrin This paper examines the economy-wide impacts of recent oil price shocks on the Malaysian economy. To achieve this objective, an integrated methodological framework that combines econometric and input–output models is utilized to assess the impacts of an oil price shock on tax revenues, employment, labor income and gross domestic product (GDP). Our results reveal that the recent oil price shocks significantly affects these macroeconomic variables. The decline in oil prices from 2015 to 2016 reduces tax revenues by 10.5%, lower GDP by 1.9% and increases the unemployment rate by 0.3%. As such, the sharp crunch in oil prices serves as a reminder to policymakers on the vulnerability inherent in overreliance on oil exports and the urgent need to diversify the economy. Taylor & Francis 2017 Article PeerReviewed text en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/62373/1/Measuring%20the%20economic%20impacts%20of%20recent%20oil%20price%20shocks%20on%20oil-dependent%20economy.pdf Maji, Ibrahim Kabiru and Saari, Mohd Yusof and Habibullah, Muzafar Shah and Utit, Chakrin (2017) Measuring the economic impacts of recent oil price shocks on oil dependent economy evidence from Malaysia. Policy Studies, 38 (4). pp. 357-391. ISSN 0144-2872; ESSN: 1470-1006 https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/01442872.2017.1320706?journalCode=cpos20 10.1080/01442872.2017.1320706
spellingShingle Maji, Ibrahim Kabiru
Saari, Mohd Yusof
Habibullah, Muzafar Shah
Utit, Chakrin
Measuring the economic impacts of recent oil price shocks on oil dependent economy evidence from Malaysia
title Measuring the economic impacts of recent oil price shocks on oil dependent economy evidence from Malaysia
title_full Measuring the economic impacts of recent oil price shocks on oil dependent economy evidence from Malaysia
title_fullStr Measuring the economic impacts of recent oil price shocks on oil dependent economy evidence from Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed Measuring the economic impacts of recent oil price shocks on oil dependent economy evidence from Malaysia
title_short Measuring the economic impacts of recent oil price shocks on oil dependent economy evidence from Malaysia
title_sort measuring the economic impacts of recent oil price shocks on oil dependent economy evidence from malaysia
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/62373/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/62373/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/62373/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/62373/1/Measuring%20the%20economic%20impacts%20of%20recent%20oil%20price%20shocks%20on%20oil-dependent%20economy.pdf