An Econometric Appraisal of Single Currency Model on Asian Countries.

This project paper investigates empirically the relationship between the Maastricht Convergence Criteria involves inflation rate, deficit per GDP, and debt per GDP, with the GDP per capita growth rate in seven Asian countries - Indonesia, Malaysia, The Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Japan, and...

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Main Author: Ahmad Nazar, Shafinaz
Format: Project Paper Report
Language:English
English
Published: 2005
Subjects:
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/6075/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/6075/1/FEP_2005_10%281-24%29.pdf
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author Ahmad Nazar, Shafinaz
author_facet Ahmad Nazar, Shafinaz
author_sort Ahmad Nazar, Shafinaz
building UPM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description This project paper investigates empirically the relationship between the Maastricht Convergence Criteria involves inflation rate, deficit per GDP, and debt per GDP, with the GDP per capita growth rate in seven Asian countries - Indonesia, Malaysia, The Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Japan, and Korea - over the period 1970 to 2004. Recent development methods of multivariate cointegration analysis followed by vector error-correction modeling were undertaken. The empirical results of the analysis suggest that there is a long run relationship between the Maastricht Convergence Criteria and GDP per capita growth rate for each country. In addition, the results fiom long-run equilibrium estimates show that the Maastricht Convergence Criteria, especially deficit per GDP and debt per GDP have significant negative impact on economic growth in most of the Asian economies. These results are quite consistent with the work by Afientiou and Serletis (2000) in which indicated that the Maastricht Convergence Criteria should have an adverse effect in promoting economic growth. The most interesting finding from the results of Granger-causality test is the exogeneity of debt per GDP among the Maastricht Convergence Criteria. In most cases, debt per GDP is found to be exogenous. Therefore, these findings are consistent to the results of long-run equilibrium estimates in which support that deficit per GDP and debt per GDP, in particular, is the significant policy instruments to stimulate economic growth.
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language English
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publishDate 2005
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spelling upm-60752014-08-26T08:30:10Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/6075/ An Econometric Appraisal of Single Currency Model on Asian Countries. Ahmad Nazar, Shafinaz This project paper investigates empirically the relationship between the Maastricht Convergence Criteria involves inflation rate, deficit per GDP, and debt per GDP, with the GDP per capita growth rate in seven Asian countries - Indonesia, Malaysia, The Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, Japan, and Korea - over the period 1970 to 2004. Recent development methods of multivariate cointegration analysis followed by vector error-correction modeling were undertaken. The empirical results of the analysis suggest that there is a long run relationship between the Maastricht Convergence Criteria and GDP per capita growth rate for each country. In addition, the results fiom long-run equilibrium estimates show that the Maastricht Convergence Criteria, especially deficit per GDP and debt per GDP have significant negative impact on economic growth in most of the Asian economies. These results are quite consistent with the work by Afientiou and Serletis (2000) in which indicated that the Maastricht Convergence Criteria should have an adverse effect in promoting economic growth. The most interesting finding from the results of Granger-causality test is the exogeneity of debt per GDP among the Maastricht Convergence Criteria. In most cases, debt per GDP is found to be exogenous. Therefore, these findings are consistent to the results of long-run equilibrium estimates in which support that deficit per GDP and debt per GDP, in particular, is the significant policy instruments to stimulate economic growth. 2005-11 Project Paper Report NonPeerReviewed application/pdf en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/6075/1/FEP_2005_10%281-24%29.pdf Ahmad Nazar, Shafinaz (2005) An Econometric Appraisal of Single Currency Model on Asian Countries. [Project Paper Report] Money - Asia - Case studies English
spellingShingle Money - Asia - Case studies
Ahmad Nazar, Shafinaz
An Econometric Appraisal of Single Currency Model on Asian Countries.
title An Econometric Appraisal of Single Currency Model on Asian Countries.
title_full An Econometric Appraisal of Single Currency Model on Asian Countries.
title_fullStr An Econometric Appraisal of Single Currency Model on Asian Countries.
title_full_unstemmed An Econometric Appraisal of Single Currency Model on Asian Countries.
title_short An Econometric Appraisal of Single Currency Model on Asian Countries.
title_sort econometric appraisal of single currency model on asian countries.
topic Money - Asia - Case studies
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/6075/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/6075/1/FEP_2005_10%281-24%29.pdf