The impact of government debt on output, private investment and human capital stock in Malaysia

This paper mainly aims to examine the effect of government debt on real output per capita in a successful developing economy of Malaysia during 1985-2014 period. Using Vector Error Correction modeling (VECM) and employing Generalized Impulse Response (GIR) tool, dynamic response of output per capita...

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Main Authors: Hajian, Hoda, Mohamed, Azali, Habibullah, Muzafar Shah
Format: Conference or Workshop Item
Language:English
Published: Faculty of Economics and Management, Universiti Putra Malaysia 2017
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/58726/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/58726/1/12-HODA_HAJIAN.pdf.pdf
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author Hajian, Hoda
Mohamed, Azali
Habibullah, Muzafar Shah
author_facet Hajian, Hoda
Mohamed, Azali
Habibullah, Muzafar Shah
author_sort Hajian, Hoda
building UPM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description This paper mainly aims to examine the effect of government debt on real output per capita in a successful developing economy of Malaysia during 1985-2014 period. Using Vector Error Correction modeling (VECM) and employing Generalized Impulse Response (GIR) tool, dynamic response of output per capita to a shock to government debt is obtained. Using the same model, the effect of government debt on economic growth factors, namely, private investment and human capital are also examined. The impulse response result based on VECM model shows that using this sample on average debt does not significantly influence output per capita and private investment although, the later shows negative response. However, human capital positively respond to a debt shock. Overall, this result did not find evidence for crowding out effect of government debt. In other words, the result provide some support for prudent debt management in Malaysia in the past. However, wisely use of government sources is always important. Moreover, excessive borrowing is not advised as it could negate positive effects and jeopardize debt sustainability.
first_indexed 2025-11-15T10:58:33Z
format Conference or Workshop Item
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institution Universiti Putra Malaysia
institution_category Local University
language English
last_indexed 2025-11-15T10:58:33Z
publishDate 2017
publisher Faculty of Economics and Management, Universiti Putra Malaysia
recordtype eprints
repository_type Digital Repository
spelling upm-587262018-01-30T09:45:39Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/58726/ The impact of government debt on output, private investment and human capital stock in Malaysia Hajian, Hoda Mohamed, Azali Habibullah, Muzafar Shah This paper mainly aims to examine the effect of government debt on real output per capita in a successful developing economy of Malaysia during 1985-2014 period. Using Vector Error Correction modeling (VECM) and employing Generalized Impulse Response (GIR) tool, dynamic response of output per capita to a shock to government debt is obtained. Using the same model, the effect of government debt on economic growth factors, namely, private investment and human capital are also examined. The impulse response result based on VECM model shows that using this sample on average debt does not significantly influence output per capita and private investment although, the later shows negative response. However, human capital positively respond to a debt shock. Overall, this result did not find evidence for crowding out effect of government debt. In other words, the result provide some support for prudent debt management in Malaysia in the past. However, wisely use of government sources is always important. Moreover, excessive borrowing is not advised as it could negate positive effects and jeopardize debt sustainability. Faculty of Economics and Management, Universiti Putra Malaysia 2017 Conference or Workshop Item PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/58726/1/12-HODA_HAJIAN.pdf.pdf Hajian, Hoda and Mohamed, Azali and Habibullah, Muzafar Shah (2017) The impact of government debt on output, private investment and human capital stock in Malaysia. In: Global Conference on Business and Economics Research (GCBER) 2017, 14-15 Aug. 2017, Universiti Putra Malaysia, Serdang, Selangor. (pp. 258-264). http://www.econ.upm.edu.my/upload/dokumen/20170818182324032-HODA_HAJIAN.pdf.pdf
spellingShingle Hajian, Hoda
Mohamed, Azali
Habibullah, Muzafar Shah
The impact of government debt on output, private investment and human capital stock in Malaysia
title The impact of government debt on output, private investment and human capital stock in Malaysia
title_full The impact of government debt on output, private investment and human capital stock in Malaysia
title_fullStr The impact of government debt on output, private investment and human capital stock in Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed The impact of government debt on output, private investment and human capital stock in Malaysia
title_short The impact of government debt on output, private investment and human capital stock in Malaysia
title_sort impact of government debt on output, private investment and human capital stock in malaysia
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/58726/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/58726/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/58726/1/12-HODA_HAJIAN.pdf.pdf