The role of monetary policy in macroeconomic volatility of association of Southeast Asian nations-4 countries against oil price shock over time

This paper examines the impact of oil price, as a cause of economic crisis, and monetary policy through the four known channels of monetary transmission mechanism (interest rate, exchange rate, domestic credit, and stock price). Using a structural vector autoregression model based on monthly data fr...

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Main Authors: Razmi, Fatemeh, Mohamed, Azali, Lee, Chin, Habibullah, Muzafar Shah
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconJournals 2015
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/46691/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/46691/1/The%20role%20of%20monetary%20policy%20in%20macroeconomic%20volatility%20of%20association%20of%20Southeast%20Asian%20nations-4%20countries%20against%20oil%20price%20shock%20over%20time.pdf
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author Razmi, Fatemeh
Mohamed, Azali
Lee, Chin
Habibullah, Muzafar Shah
author_facet Razmi, Fatemeh
Mohamed, Azali
Lee, Chin
Habibullah, Muzafar Shah
author_sort Razmi, Fatemeh
building UPM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description This paper examines the impact of oil price, as a cause of economic crisis, and monetary policy through the four known channels of monetary transmission mechanism (interest rate, exchange rate, domestic credit, and stock price). Using a structural vector autoregression model based on monthly data from 2002 to 2013 for Association of Southeast Asian Nations-4 countries, oil price and monetary transmission channels are compared pre- and post-crisis. The result indicates oil price remains an important factor in explaining price volatility, even though oil price has a weaker effect compared to a stronger effect of monetary transmission mechanism on prices. Stock price for Malaysia and domestic credit for the three others can affect the prices against oil price shock. Unlike prices, the output of all countries except Thailand is more affected by oil price post-crisis compared to pre-crisis. Different monetary transmission tools affecting industrial production are compared for the four countries.
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spelling upm-466912018-02-22T02:18:19Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/46691/ The role of monetary policy in macroeconomic volatility of association of Southeast Asian nations-4 countries against oil price shock over time Razmi, Fatemeh Mohamed, Azali Lee, Chin Habibullah, Muzafar Shah This paper examines the impact of oil price, as a cause of economic crisis, and monetary policy through the four known channels of monetary transmission mechanism (interest rate, exchange rate, domestic credit, and stock price). Using a structural vector autoregression model based on monthly data from 2002 to 2013 for Association of Southeast Asian Nations-4 countries, oil price and monetary transmission channels are compared pre- and post-crisis. The result indicates oil price remains an important factor in explaining price volatility, even though oil price has a weaker effect compared to a stronger effect of monetary transmission mechanism on prices. Stock price for Malaysia and domestic credit for the three others can affect the prices against oil price shock. Unlike prices, the output of all countries except Thailand is more affected by oil price post-crisis compared to pre-crisis. Different monetary transmission tools affecting industrial production are compared for the four countries. EconJournals 2015 Article PeerReviewed text en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/46691/1/The%20role%20of%20monetary%20policy%20in%20macroeconomic%20volatility%20of%20association%20of%20Southeast%20Asian%20nations-4%20countries%20against%20oil%20price%20shock%20over%20time.pdf Razmi, Fatemeh and Mohamed, Azali and Lee, Chin and Habibullah, Muzafar Shah (2015) The role of monetary policy in macroeconomic volatility of association of Southeast Asian nations-4 countries against oil price shock over time. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 5 (3). pp. 731-737. ISSN 2146-4553 http://www.econjournals.com
spellingShingle Razmi, Fatemeh
Mohamed, Azali
Lee, Chin
Habibullah, Muzafar Shah
The role of monetary policy in macroeconomic volatility of association of Southeast Asian nations-4 countries against oil price shock over time
title The role of monetary policy in macroeconomic volatility of association of Southeast Asian nations-4 countries against oil price shock over time
title_full The role of monetary policy in macroeconomic volatility of association of Southeast Asian nations-4 countries against oil price shock over time
title_fullStr The role of monetary policy in macroeconomic volatility of association of Southeast Asian nations-4 countries against oil price shock over time
title_full_unstemmed The role of monetary policy in macroeconomic volatility of association of Southeast Asian nations-4 countries against oil price shock over time
title_short The role of monetary policy in macroeconomic volatility of association of Southeast Asian nations-4 countries against oil price shock over time
title_sort role of monetary policy in macroeconomic volatility of association of southeast asian nations-4 countries against oil price shock over time
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/46691/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/46691/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/46691/1/The%20role%20of%20monetary%20policy%20in%20macroeconomic%20volatility%20of%20association%20of%20Southeast%20Asian%20nations-4%20countries%20against%20oil%20price%20shock%20over%20time.pdf