House prices and bank credits in Malaysia: an aggregate and disaggregate analysis

The paper investigates the long run behavior of house prices and their dynamic interactions with bank credits, real output and interest rate for the case of Malaysia. Apart from the aggregate house prices, the analysis also covers various house price sub-indices, namely, the terraced house price ind...

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Main Authors: Ibrahim, Mansor, Law, Siong Hook
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2014
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/37882/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/37882/1/House%20prices%20and%20bank%20credits%20in%20Malaysia%20an%20aggregate%20and%20disaggregate%20analysis.pdf
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author Ibrahim, Mansor
Law, Siong Hook
author_facet Ibrahim, Mansor
Law, Siong Hook
author_sort Ibrahim, Mansor
building UPM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description The paper investigates the long run behavior of house prices and their dynamic interactions with bank credits, real output and interest rate for the case of Malaysia. Apart from the aggregate house prices, the analysis also covers various house price sub-indices, namely, the terraced house price index, the semi-detached house price index, the detached house price index and the high-rise price index. From the aggregate perspective, we note the presence of a long run relation among the variables. Moreover, the findings suggest the long run causality that runs from the included variables to both the aggregate house prices and bank credits. Dynamic interactions between house prices and bank credits are further reflected by the generated impulse-response functions. The disaggregate analysis indicates that only the terraced house price index forms a long run relation with bank credits, real output and interest rate with their dynamic interactions to mimic well the aggregate systems. Still, a further analysis reveals that shocks to the terraced house price tend to diffuse to other segments of housing markets. Among the housing types, the detached house price is relatively segmented and affected only indirectly through the diffusion/ripple effect. These findings bear important implications for macroeconomic stability, monetary policy and investment decisions.
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spelling upm-378822015-12-21T06:46:20Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/37882/ House prices and bank credits in Malaysia: an aggregate and disaggregate analysis Ibrahim, Mansor Law, Siong Hook The paper investigates the long run behavior of house prices and their dynamic interactions with bank credits, real output and interest rate for the case of Malaysia. Apart from the aggregate house prices, the analysis also covers various house price sub-indices, namely, the terraced house price index, the semi-detached house price index, the detached house price index and the high-rise price index. From the aggregate perspective, we note the presence of a long run relation among the variables. Moreover, the findings suggest the long run causality that runs from the included variables to both the aggregate house prices and bank credits. Dynamic interactions between house prices and bank credits are further reflected by the generated impulse-response functions. The disaggregate analysis indicates that only the terraced house price index forms a long run relation with bank credits, real output and interest rate with their dynamic interactions to mimic well the aggregate systems. Still, a further analysis reveals that shocks to the terraced house price tend to diffuse to other segments of housing markets. Among the housing types, the detached house price is relatively segmented and affected only indirectly through the diffusion/ripple effect. These findings bear important implications for macroeconomic stability, monetary policy and investment decisions. Elsevier 2014-04 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/37882/1/House%20prices%20and%20bank%20credits%20in%20Malaysia%20an%20aggregate%20and%20disaggregate%20analysis.pdf Ibrahim, Mansor and Law, Siong Hook (2014) House prices and bank credits in Malaysia: an aggregate and disaggregate analysis. Habitat International, 42. pp. 111-120. ISSN 0197-3975; ESSN: 1873-5428 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0197397513001252 10.1016/j.habitatint.2013.11.006
spellingShingle Ibrahim, Mansor
Law, Siong Hook
House prices and bank credits in Malaysia: an aggregate and disaggregate analysis
title House prices and bank credits in Malaysia: an aggregate and disaggregate analysis
title_full House prices and bank credits in Malaysia: an aggregate and disaggregate analysis
title_fullStr House prices and bank credits in Malaysia: an aggregate and disaggregate analysis
title_full_unstemmed House prices and bank credits in Malaysia: an aggregate and disaggregate analysis
title_short House prices and bank credits in Malaysia: an aggregate and disaggregate analysis
title_sort house prices and bank credits in malaysia: an aggregate and disaggregate analysis
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/37882/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/37882/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/37882/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/37882/1/House%20prices%20and%20bank%20credits%20in%20Malaysia%20an%20aggregate%20and%20disaggregate%20analysis.pdf