Sustainable exploitation of hilsa fish (Tenualosa ilisha) population in Bangladesh: modeling and policy implications

This paper presents a computer model of hilsa fish (Tenualosa ilisha) to predict the long-term trends in the hilsa population over several decades and to assess the impacts of harvesting the juveniles and spawning adults of hilsa fish. The model is designed to keep track of the population in various...

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Main Authors: Bala, Bilash Kanti, Mohamed Arshad, Fatimah, Alias, Emmy Farha, Sidique, Shaufique Fahmi, Mohd Noh, Kusairi, Kamal, Md. Rowshon, Islam, Q. M. M., Islam, M. M.
Format: Article
Published: Elsevier 2014
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/35550/
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author Bala, Bilash Kanti
Mohamed Arshad, Fatimah
Alias, Emmy Farha
Sidique, Shaufique Fahmi
Mohd Noh, Kusairi
Kamal, Md. Rowshon
Islam, Q. M. M.
Islam, M. M.
author_facet Bala, Bilash Kanti
Mohamed Arshad, Fatimah
Alias, Emmy Farha
Sidique, Shaufique Fahmi
Mohd Noh, Kusairi
Kamal, Md. Rowshon
Islam, Q. M. M.
Islam, M. M.
author_sort Bala, Bilash Kanti
building UPM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description This paper presents a computer model of hilsa fish (Tenualosa ilisha) to predict the long-term trends in the hilsa population over several decades and to assess the impacts of harvesting the juveniles and spawning adults of hilsa fish. The model is designed to keep track of the population in various phases of the life cycle. The computer model of hilsa fish is based on system dynamics methodology. The full history of the cause and effect relationships of the population dynamics of hilsa fish is presented using causal loop and flow diagrams. STELLA software is used to model the population dynamics of hilsa fish and the parameters of the model are estimated from field data and reports. Maximum sustainable yield and carrying capacity were simulated to be 268,000 tons and 670,000 tons, respectively. The overall situation of hilsa fishery is under severe stress in Bangladesh and vulnerable to over exploitation. Simulation results show that increased harvesting of the adults entering the rivers and the juveniles in the rivers cause gradual decline in hilsa fish population and even may cause to disappear this valuable resource within a short period of time. Also the optimal strategies for sustainable development of hilsa fishery have been addressed and the optimization results show that optimized operation of the hilsa fishery not only stabilizes the system, but also enhances the harvested adult hilsa. The model has the potential to analyze the harvesting strategies of the adults entering the rivers and juveniles in the rivers for sustainable exploitation of the hilsa fish.
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spelling upm-355502016-01-14T04:56:07Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/35550/ Sustainable exploitation of hilsa fish (Tenualosa ilisha) population in Bangladesh: modeling and policy implications Bala, Bilash Kanti Mohamed Arshad, Fatimah Alias, Emmy Farha Sidique, Shaufique Fahmi Mohd Noh, Kusairi Kamal, Md. Rowshon Islam, Q. M. M. Islam, M. M. This paper presents a computer model of hilsa fish (Tenualosa ilisha) to predict the long-term trends in the hilsa population over several decades and to assess the impacts of harvesting the juveniles and spawning adults of hilsa fish. The model is designed to keep track of the population in various phases of the life cycle. The computer model of hilsa fish is based on system dynamics methodology. The full history of the cause and effect relationships of the population dynamics of hilsa fish is presented using causal loop and flow diagrams. STELLA software is used to model the population dynamics of hilsa fish and the parameters of the model are estimated from field data and reports. Maximum sustainable yield and carrying capacity were simulated to be 268,000 tons and 670,000 tons, respectively. The overall situation of hilsa fishery is under severe stress in Bangladesh and vulnerable to over exploitation. Simulation results show that increased harvesting of the adults entering the rivers and the juveniles in the rivers cause gradual decline in hilsa fish population and even may cause to disappear this valuable resource within a short period of time. Also the optimal strategies for sustainable development of hilsa fishery have been addressed and the optimization results show that optimized operation of the hilsa fishery not only stabilizes the system, but also enhances the harvested adult hilsa. The model has the potential to analyze the harvesting strategies of the adults entering the rivers and juveniles in the rivers for sustainable exploitation of the hilsa fish. Elsevier 2014-07-10 Article PeerReviewed Bala, Bilash Kanti and Mohamed Arshad, Fatimah and Alias, Emmy Farha and Sidique, Shaufique Fahmi and Mohd Noh, Kusairi and Kamal, Md. Rowshon and Islam, Q. M. M. and Islam, M. M. (2014) Sustainable exploitation of hilsa fish (Tenualosa ilisha) population in Bangladesh: modeling and policy implications. Ecological Modelling, 283. pp. 19-30. ISSN 0304-3800 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304380014001574 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2014.03.013
spellingShingle Bala, Bilash Kanti
Mohamed Arshad, Fatimah
Alias, Emmy Farha
Sidique, Shaufique Fahmi
Mohd Noh, Kusairi
Kamal, Md. Rowshon
Islam, Q. M. M.
Islam, M. M.
Sustainable exploitation of hilsa fish (Tenualosa ilisha) population in Bangladesh: modeling and policy implications
title Sustainable exploitation of hilsa fish (Tenualosa ilisha) population in Bangladesh: modeling and policy implications
title_full Sustainable exploitation of hilsa fish (Tenualosa ilisha) population in Bangladesh: modeling and policy implications
title_fullStr Sustainable exploitation of hilsa fish (Tenualosa ilisha) population in Bangladesh: modeling and policy implications
title_full_unstemmed Sustainable exploitation of hilsa fish (Tenualosa ilisha) population in Bangladesh: modeling and policy implications
title_short Sustainable exploitation of hilsa fish (Tenualosa ilisha) population in Bangladesh: modeling and policy implications
title_sort sustainable exploitation of hilsa fish (tenualosa ilisha) population in bangladesh: modeling and policy implications
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/35550/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/35550/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/35550/