Parity reversion in real interest rate in the Asian countries: further evidence based on local-persistent model

This paper examines the validity of real interest parity (RIP) for 10 Asian economies over the period 1977–2012 (quarterly frequency). The evidence based on two-break unit root tests reveals that majority of the real interest rate differentials (RIDs) with respect to Germany and the US are stationar...

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Main Authors: Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi, Soon, Siew Voon, Hamzah, Nor Aishah
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2013
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/28300/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/28300/1/Parity%20reversion%20in%20real%20interest%20rate%20in%20the%20Asian%20countries.pdf
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author Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi
Soon, Siew Voon
Hamzah, Nor Aishah
author_facet Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi
Soon, Siew Voon
Hamzah, Nor Aishah
author_sort Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi
building UPM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description This paper examines the validity of real interest parity (RIP) for 10 Asian economies over the period 1977–2012 (quarterly frequency). The evidence based on two-break unit root tests reveals that majority of the real interest rate differentials (RIDs) with respect to Germany and the US are stationary, but this appears not to be the case for the Japan-based RIDs. Contrary to these results, the point estimates and the confidence intervals (CIs) of half-lives based on the Phillips et al.'s (2001) local-persistent model provide a clear-cut conclusion on RIP: Most of the RIDs take less than a year to adjust back to their respective equilibrium values, with notably tighter CIs than what has been suggested by earlier literature.
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institution Universiti Putra Malaysia
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language English
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publishDate 2013
publisher Elsevier
recordtype eprints
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spelling upm-283002015-08-24T01:22:44Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/28300/ Parity reversion in real interest rate in the Asian countries: further evidence based on local-persistent model Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi Soon, Siew Voon Hamzah, Nor Aishah This paper examines the validity of real interest parity (RIP) for 10 Asian economies over the period 1977–2012 (quarterly frequency). The evidence based on two-break unit root tests reveals that majority of the real interest rate differentials (RIDs) with respect to Germany and the US are stationary, but this appears not to be the case for the Japan-based RIDs. Contrary to these results, the point estimates and the confidence intervals (CIs) of half-lives based on the Phillips et al.'s (2001) local-persistent model provide a clear-cut conclusion on RIP: Most of the RIDs take less than a year to adjust back to their respective equilibrium values, with notably tighter CIs than what has been suggested by earlier literature. Elsevier 2013-09 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/28300/1/Parity%20reversion%20in%20real%20interest%20rate%20in%20the%20Asian%20countries.pdf Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi and Soon, Siew Voon and Hamzah, Nor Aishah (2013) Parity reversion in real interest rate in the Asian countries: further evidence based on local-persistent model. Economic Modelling, 35. pp. 634-642. ISSN 0264-9993; ESSN: 1873-6122 http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0264999313003404 10.1016/j.econmod.2013.08.024
spellingShingle Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi
Soon, Siew Voon
Hamzah, Nor Aishah
Parity reversion in real interest rate in the Asian countries: further evidence based on local-persistent model
title Parity reversion in real interest rate in the Asian countries: further evidence based on local-persistent model
title_full Parity reversion in real interest rate in the Asian countries: further evidence based on local-persistent model
title_fullStr Parity reversion in real interest rate in the Asian countries: further evidence based on local-persistent model
title_full_unstemmed Parity reversion in real interest rate in the Asian countries: further evidence based on local-persistent model
title_short Parity reversion in real interest rate in the Asian countries: further evidence based on local-persistent model
title_sort parity reversion in real interest rate in the asian countries: further evidence based on local-persistent model
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/28300/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/28300/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/28300/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/28300/1/Parity%20reversion%20in%20real%20interest%20rate%20in%20the%20Asian%20countries.pdf