Troposheric ozone trend in the Muda irrigation area, Kedah

The ozone trend in the Muda Irrigation Area (MADA), Kedah, Malaysia, was assessed from the ozone data recorded in Su ngai Petani. Three parameters were selected as the robust trend indicators in the study: the monthly mean, the monthly averaged daily 1-h maximum and the number of annual hours >...

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Main Authors: Ismail, Marzuki, Suroto, Azrin, Engku Ibrahim, Tengku Azmina, Abdullah, Ahmad Makmom
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia 2011
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/23542/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/23542/1/Troposheric%20ozone%20trend%20in%20the%20Muda%20irrigation%20area.pdf
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author Ismail, Marzuki
Suroto, Azrin
Engku Ibrahim, Tengku Azmina
Abdullah, Ahmad Makmom
author_facet Ismail, Marzuki
Suroto, Azrin
Engku Ibrahim, Tengku Azmina
Abdullah, Ahmad Makmom
author_sort Ismail, Marzuki
building UPM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description The ozone trend in the Muda Irrigation Area (MADA), Kedah, Malaysia, was assessed from the ozone data recorded in Su ngai Petani. Three parameters were selected as the robust trend indicators in the study: the monthly mean, the monthly averaged daily 1-h maximum and the number of annual hours > 120 g/m3. As the ozone data displayed obvious seasonal variation, using deseasonalised monthly average parameters to estimate the ozone trends could smooth out the influence of seasonal fluctuations. In this study, we used the Box-Jenkins methodology to build the Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model for the monthly ozone data taken from an Automatic Air Quality Monitoring System in Sungai Petani station for the period between 1999 and 2007, with a total 108 readings. The parametric, seasonally adjusted ARIMA (1, 0, 1) x (2, 1, 2) 12 model was successfully applied to predict the long-term trend of ozone concentration. The detection of a steady, statistically significant upward trend of ozone concentration in the area is a concern for human health and agricultural activities.
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spelling upm-235422016-11-29T05:03:49Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/23542/ Troposheric ozone trend in the Muda irrigation area, Kedah Ismail, Marzuki Suroto, Azrin Engku Ibrahim, Tengku Azmina Abdullah, Ahmad Makmom The ozone trend in the Muda Irrigation Area (MADA), Kedah, Malaysia, was assessed from the ozone data recorded in Su ngai Petani. Three parameters were selected as the robust trend indicators in the study: the monthly mean, the monthly averaged daily 1-h maximum and the number of annual hours > 120 g/m3. As the ozone data displayed obvious seasonal variation, using deseasonalised monthly average parameters to estimate the ozone trends could smooth out the influence of seasonal fluctuations. In this study, we used the Box-Jenkins methodology to build the Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model for the monthly ozone data taken from an Automatic Air Quality Monitoring System in Sungai Petani station for the period between 1999 and 2007, with a total 108 readings. The parametric, seasonally adjusted ARIMA (1, 0, 1) x (2, 1, 2) 12 model was successfully applied to predict the long-term trend of ozone concentration. The detection of a steady, statistically significant upward trend of ozone concentration in the area is a concern for human health and agricultural activities. Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia 2011 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/23542/1/Troposheric%20ozone%20trend%20in%20the%20Muda%20irrigation%20area.pdf Ismail, Marzuki and Suroto, Azrin and Engku Ibrahim, Tengku Azmina and Abdullah, Ahmad Makmom (2011) Troposheric ozone trend in the Muda irrigation area, Kedah. Journal of Physical Science, 22 (2). pp. 87-99. ISSN 1675-3402; ESSN: 2180-4230 http://web.usm.my/jps/22-2.html
spellingShingle Ismail, Marzuki
Suroto, Azrin
Engku Ibrahim, Tengku Azmina
Abdullah, Ahmad Makmom
Troposheric ozone trend in the Muda irrigation area, Kedah
title Troposheric ozone trend in the Muda irrigation area, Kedah
title_full Troposheric ozone trend in the Muda irrigation area, Kedah
title_fullStr Troposheric ozone trend in the Muda irrigation area, Kedah
title_full_unstemmed Troposheric ozone trend in the Muda irrigation area, Kedah
title_short Troposheric ozone trend in the Muda irrigation area, Kedah
title_sort troposheric ozone trend in the muda irrigation area, kedah
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/23542/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/23542/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/23542/1/Troposheric%20ozone%20trend%20in%20the%20Muda%20irrigation%20area.pdf