Inflation uncertainty and economic growth: evidence from the LAD ARCH model

In this paper, we combined the panel data and least absolute deviation autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (ARCH) (L 1-ARCH) model to infer on the relationship between inflation uncertainty and economic growth in five emerging market economies. Two interesting findings emerged from the analys...

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Main Authors: Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi, Hamzah, Nor Aishah, Muhammad Sabri, Shamsul Rijal
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis 2011
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/22841/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/22841/1/Inflation%20uncertainty%20and%20economic%20growth.pdf
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author Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi
Hamzah, Nor Aishah
Muhammad Sabri, Shamsul Rijal
author_facet Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi
Hamzah, Nor Aishah
Muhammad Sabri, Shamsul Rijal
author_sort Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi
building UPM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description In this paper, we combined the panel data and least absolute deviation autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (ARCH) (L 1-ARCH) model to infer on the relationship between inflation uncertainty and economic growth in five emerging market economies. Two interesting findings emerged from the analysis; first, we confirmed that the inflation uncertainty has a significant and negative effect on economic growth. Second, inflation is also an important variable and it is detrimental to economic prospects in the fast-growing Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) economies. All in all, the empirical findings suggest that greater stability in the economy may be desirable in order to stimulate economic growth in the region.
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spelling upm-228412015-08-26T08:10:47Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/22841/ Inflation uncertainty and economic growth: evidence from the LAD ARCH model Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi Hamzah, Nor Aishah Muhammad Sabri, Shamsul Rijal In this paper, we combined the panel data and least absolute deviation autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (ARCH) (L 1-ARCH) model to infer on the relationship between inflation uncertainty and economic growth in five emerging market economies. Two interesting findings emerged from the analysis; first, we confirmed that the inflation uncertainty has a significant and negative effect on economic growth. Second, inflation is also an important variable and it is detrimental to economic prospects in the fast-growing Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) economies. All in all, the empirical findings suggest that greater stability in the economy may be desirable in order to stimulate economic growth in the region. Taylor & Francis 2011-01 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/22841/1/Inflation%20uncertainty%20and%20economic%20growth.pdf Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi and Hamzah, Nor Aishah and Muhammad Sabri, Shamsul Rijal (2011) Inflation uncertainty and economic growth: evidence from the LAD ARCH model. Journal of Applied Statistics, 38 (1). pp. 195-206. ISSN 0266-4763; ESSN: 1360-0532 10.1080/02664760903406397
spellingShingle Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi
Hamzah, Nor Aishah
Muhammad Sabri, Shamsul Rijal
Inflation uncertainty and economic growth: evidence from the LAD ARCH model
title Inflation uncertainty and economic growth: evidence from the LAD ARCH model
title_full Inflation uncertainty and economic growth: evidence from the LAD ARCH model
title_fullStr Inflation uncertainty and economic growth: evidence from the LAD ARCH model
title_full_unstemmed Inflation uncertainty and economic growth: evidence from the LAD ARCH model
title_short Inflation uncertainty and economic growth: evidence from the LAD ARCH model
title_sort inflation uncertainty and economic growth: evidence from the lad arch model
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/22841/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/22841/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/22841/1/Inflation%20uncertainty%20and%20economic%20growth.pdf