Exchange rate regime, exchange rate variability and flows of Malaysia's foreign trade

This article empirically evaluates Malaysian foreign trade effects through two types of exchange rate variability; misalignments and volatility across different exchange rate regimes from 1991:Q1 to 2003:Q4. The Natural Real Exchange Rate (NATREX) equilibrium model is employed to generate the real e...

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Main Authors: Niaz Ahmad, Mohd Naseem, Tan, Hui Boon, Mohd, Siti Hamizah
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2010
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/22530/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/22530/1/Exchange%20rate%20regime%2C%20exchange%20rate%20variability%20and%20flows%20of%20Malaysia%27s%20foreign%20trade.pdf
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author Niaz Ahmad, Mohd Naseem
Tan, Hui Boon
Mohd, Siti Hamizah
author_facet Niaz Ahmad, Mohd Naseem
Tan, Hui Boon
Mohd, Siti Hamizah
author_sort Niaz Ahmad, Mohd Naseem
building UPM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description This article empirically evaluates Malaysian foreign trade effects through two types of exchange rate variability; misalignments and volatility across different exchange rate regimes from 1991:Q1 to 2003:Q4. The Natural Real Exchange Rate (NATREX) equilibrium model is employed to generate the real exchange rate misalignment while the GARCH (1, 1) model is used to measure the real exchange rate volatility, which is then tested in a model of Malaysian imports and exports. This paper differs from existing literature as the effects of exchange rate misalignment significantly hastened the level of Malaysian exports and imports for the periods, managed floating and pegged rate. On the other hand, the exchange rate volatility has merely promoted the Malaysian exports and imports during the implementation of pegged rate. This proposes that the variability of exchange rate and exchange rate regimes are important determinants in inspiring Malaysian foreign trade, especially during the 1997 financial crisis when the economic is distressed.
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spelling upm-225302016-02-01T08:26:54Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/22530/ Exchange rate regime, exchange rate variability and flows of Malaysia's foreign trade Niaz Ahmad, Mohd Naseem Tan, Hui Boon Mohd, Siti Hamizah This article empirically evaluates Malaysian foreign trade effects through two types of exchange rate variability; misalignments and volatility across different exchange rate regimes from 1991:Q1 to 2003:Q4. The Natural Real Exchange Rate (NATREX) equilibrium model is employed to generate the real exchange rate misalignment while the GARCH (1, 1) model is used to measure the real exchange rate volatility, which is then tested in a model of Malaysian imports and exports. This paper differs from existing literature as the effects of exchange rate misalignment significantly hastened the level of Malaysian exports and imports for the periods, managed floating and pegged rate. On the other hand, the exchange rate volatility has merely promoted the Malaysian exports and imports during the implementation of pegged rate. This proposes that the variability of exchange rate and exchange rate regimes are important determinants in inspiring Malaysian foreign trade, especially during the 1997 financial crisis when the economic is distressed. Penerbit Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia 2010 Article PeerReviewed application/pdf en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/22530/1/Exchange%20rate%20regime%2C%20exchange%20rate%20variability%20and%20flows%20of%20Malaysia%27s%20foreign%20trade.pdf Niaz Ahmad, Mohd Naseem and Tan, Hui Boon and Mohd, Siti Hamizah (2010) Exchange rate regime, exchange rate variability and flows of Malaysia's foreign trade. Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, 44. pp. 35-49. ISSN 0126-1962 http://www.ukm.my/fep/jem/content/2010.html
spellingShingle Niaz Ahmad, Mohd Naseem
Tan, Hui Boon
Mohd, Siti Hamizah
Exchange rate regime, exchange rate variability and flows of Malaysia's foreign trade
title Exchange rate regime, exchange rate variability and flows of Malaysia's foreign trade
title_full Exchange rate regime, exchange rate variability and flows of Malaysia's foreign trade
title_fullStr Exchange rate regime, exchange rate variability and flows of Malaysia's foreign trade
title_full_unstemmed Exchange rate regime, exchange rate variability and flows of Malaysia's foreign trade
title_short Exchange rate regime, exchange rate variability and flows of Malaysia's foreign trade
title_sort exchange rate regime, exchange rate variability and flows of malaysia's foreign trade
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/22530/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/22530/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/22530/1/Exchange%20rate%20regime%2C%20exchange%20rate%20variability%20and%20flows%20of%20Malaysia%27s%20foreign%20trade.pdf