The sensitivity of rice production to transplanting date and irrigation water management in a drier climate future scenario

Climate change impacts on water availability and rice production, combined with growing human population, is an existing threat to global food security. In this research, the potential impacts of climate change on the water balance and rice yield were assessed with the baseline period (1986–2005) to...

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Main Authors: Yiwen, Mok, Zulkafli, Zed, Raffar, Nurfarhana, Mohamed Rehan, Balqis, Nurulhuda, Khairudin, Chung, Jing Xiang, Tangang, Fredolin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH 2025
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/120796/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/120796/1/120796.pdf
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author Yiwen, Mok
Zulkafli, Zed
Raffar, Nurfarhana
Mohamed Rehan, Balqis
Nurulhuda, Khairudin
Chung, Jing Xiang
Tangang, Fredolin
author_facet Yiwen, Mok
Zulkafli, Zed
Raffar, Nurfarhana
Mohamed Rehan, Balqis
Nurulhuda, Khairudin
Chung, Jing Xiang
Tangang, Fredolin
author_sort Yiwen, Mok
building UPM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Climate change impacts on water availability and rice production, combined with growing human population, is an existing threat to global food security. In this research, the potential impacts of climate change on the water balance and rice yield were assessed with the baseline period (1986–2005) to the future period (2015–2094) in a rice planting region within the Muda Irrigation Scheme area, Malaysia. A hydrological model was used to project the changes of water components and rice yield production in response to a drying future climate scenario, in which the seasonal temperature is projected to increase while seasonal precipitation is projected to decrease. Next, two adaptation strategies (1) shifting planting dates and (2) adding supplementary irrigation were evaluated for their mitigating effects. Results found a reduction in evapotranspiration, irrigation, surface runoff, and rice yield were observed for both seasons under climate change, relative to the baseline scenario. Next, under both adaptation strategies, results show changes in the water balance that compensate for the loss in yield production. Specifically, delayed planting contributed to positive improvement of evapotranspiration, irrigation, and percolation. Meanwhile, increasing supplementary irrigation led to enhancement in most water components, except surface runoff.
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language English
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spelling upm-1207962025-10-10T03:34:42Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/120796/ The sensitivity of rice production to transplanting date and irrigation water management in a drier climate future scenario Yiwen, Mok Zulkafli, Zed Raffar, Nurfarhana Mohamed Rehan, Balqis Nurulhuda, Khairudin Chung, Jing Xiang Tangang, Fredolin Climate change impacts on water availability and rice production, combined with growing human population, is an existing threat to global food security. In this research, the potential impacts of climate change on the water balance and rice yield were assessed with the baseline period (1986–2005) to the future period (2015–2094) in a rice planting region within the Muda Irrigation Scheme area, Malaysia. A hydrological model was used to project the changes of water components and rice yield production in response to a drying future climate scenario, in which the seasonal temperature is projected to increase while seasonal precipitation is projected to decrease. Next, two adaptation strategies (1) shifting planting dates and (2) adding supplementary irrigation were evaluated for their mitigating effects. Results found a reduction in evapotranspiration, irrigation, surface runoff, and rice yield were observed for both seasons under climate change, relative to the baseline scenario. Next, under both adaptation strategies, results show changes in the water balance that compensate for the loss in yield production. Specifically, delayed planting contributed to positive improvement of evapotranspiration, irrigation, and percolation. Meanwhile, increasing supplementary irrigation led to enhancement in most water components, except surface runoff. Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH 2025 Article PeerReviewed text en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/120796/1/120796.pdf Yiwen, Mok and Zulkafli, Zed and Raffar, Nurfarhana and Mohamed Rehan, Balqis and Nurulhuda, Khairudin and Chung, Jing Xiang and Tangang, Fredolin (2025) The sensitivity of rice production to transplanting date and irrigation water management in a drier climate future scenario. Paddy and Water Environment, 23 (3). pp. 511-522. ISSN 1611-2490; eISSN: 1611-2504 https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10333-025-01032-9?error=cookies_not_supported&code=a61fe225-d768-466e-8882-0898178a3313 10.1007/s10333-025-01032-9
spellingShingle Yiwen, Mok
Zulkafli, Zed
Raffar, Nurfarhana
Mohamed Rehan, Balqis
Nurulhuda, Khairudin
Chung, Jing Xiang
Tangang, Fredolin
The sensitivity of rice production to transplanting date and irrigation water management in a drier climate future scenario
title The sensitivity of rice production to transplanting date and irrigation water management in a drier climate future scenario
title_full The sensitivity of rice production to transplanting date and irrigation water management in a drier climate future scenario
title_fullStr The sensitivity of rice production to transplanting date and irrigation water management in a drier climate future scenario
title_full_unstemmed The sensitivity of rice production to transplanting date and irrigation water management in a drier climate future scenario
title_short The sensitivity of rice production to transplanting date and irrigation water management in a drier climate future scenario
title_sort sensitivity of rice production to transplanting date and irrigation water management in a drier climate future scenario
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/120796/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/120796/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/120796/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/120796/1/120796.pdf