A novel prediction of the PV system output current based on integration of optimized hyperparameters of multi-layer neural networks and polynomial regression models

The renewable energy system has yielded substantial enhancements to worldwide power generation. Therefore, precise prediction of long-term renewable energy conductivity is vital for grid system. This study introduces a new predictive output current for the photovoltaic (PV) system using actual exper...

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Main Authors: Ridha, Hussein Mohammed, Hizam, Hashim, Mirjalili, Seyedali, Othman, Mohammad Lutfi, Ya’acob, Mohammad Effendy, Abdul Wahab, Noor Izzri, Ahmadipour, Masoud
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier B.V. 2025
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/120530/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/120530/1/120530.pdf
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author Ridha, Hussein Mohammed
Hizam, Hashim
Mirjalili, Seyedali
Othman, Mohammad Lutfi
Ya’acob, Mohammad Effendy
Abdul Wahab, Noor Izzri
Ahmadipour, Masoud
author_facet Ridha, Hussein Mohammed
Hizam, Hashim
Mirjalili, Seyedali
Othman, Mohammad Lutfi
Ya’acob, Mohammad Effendy
Abdul Wahab, Noor Izzri
Ahmadipour, Masoud
author_sort Ridha, Hussein Mohammed
building UPM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description The renewable energy system has yielded substantial enhancements to worldwide power generation. Therefore, precise prediction of long-term renewable energy conductivity is vital for grid system. This study introduces a new predictive output current for the photovoltaic (PV) system using actual experimental data. This research proposes three key contributions: The IMGO method is enhanced using several hybrid tactics to improve local search capabilities and increase exploration of significant regions within the feature space. Subsequently, the architecture of the multilayer feedforward artificial neural network is developed. The IMGO is employed to determine the appropriate hyperparameters of the model, ranging from the number of neurons in the hidden layers and learning rate. The Bayesian regularization backpropagation procedure is applied to update the weights and bias of the network. The proposed IMGOMFFNN model is ultimately combined with Polynomial regression model to improve the predictability of the PV system. The experimental results demonstrated that the proposed IMGO algorithm is very effective in addressing complex problems with high accuracy, capability, and speedy convergence. The proposed hybrid IMGOPMFFNN model proved its superior correlation evaluations, surpassing the performance of ant lion optimizer based on random forest (ALORF) model, two stages of ANN (ALO2ANN) model, long short-term memory (LSTM), gated recurrent unit (GRU), extreme learning machine (ELM), least square support vector machine (LSSVM), and convolutional neural network (CNN) models. The MATLAB code of the IMGO is free available at: https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/fileexchange/177214-improved-mgo-method.
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spelling upm-1205302025-10-06T01:20:59Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/120530/ A novel prediction of the PV system output current based on integration of optimized hyperparameters of multi-layer neural networks and polynomial regression models Ridha, Hussein Mohammed Hizam, Hashim Mirjalili, Seyedali Othman, Mohammad Lutfi Ya’acob, Mohammad Effendy Abdul Wahab, Noor Izzri Ahmadipour, Masoud The renewable energy system has yielded substantial enhancements to worldwide power generation. Therefore, precise prediction of long-term renewable energy conductivity is vital for grid system. This study introduces a new predictive output current for the photovoltaic (PV) system using actual experimental data. This research proposes three key contributions: The IMGO method is enhanced using several hybrid tactics to improve local search capabilities and increase exploration of significant regions within the feature space. Subsequently, the architecture of the multilayer feedforward artificial neural network is developed. The IMGO is employed to determine the appropriate hyperparameters of the model, ranging from the number of neurons in the hidden layers and learning rate. The Bayesian regularization backpropagation procedure is applied to update the weights and bias of the network. The proposed IMGOMFFNN model is ultimately combined with Polynomial regression model to improve the predictability of the PV system. The experimental results demonstrated that the proposed IMGO algorithm is very effective in addressing complex problems with high accuracy, capability, and speedy convergence. The proposed hybrid IMGOPMFFNN model proved its superior correlation evaluations, surpassing the performance of ant lion optimizer based on random forest (ALORF) model, two stages of ANN (ALO2ANN) model, long short-term memory (LSTM), gated recurrent unit (GRU), extreme learning machine (ELM), least square support vector machine (LSSVM), and convolutional neural network (CNN) models. The MATLAB code of the IMGO is free available at: https://www.mathworks.com/matlabcentral/fileexchange/177214-improved-mgo-method. Elsevier B.V. 2025 Article PeerReviewed text en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/120530/1/120530.pdf Ridha, Hussein Mohammed and Hizam, Hashim and Mirjalili, Seyedali and Othman, Mohammad Lutfi and Ya’acob, Mohammad Effendy and Abdul Wahab, Noor Izzri and Ahmadipour, Masoud (2025) A novel prediction of the PV system output current based on integration of optimized hyperparameters of multi-layer neural networks and polynomial regression models. Next Energy, 8. art. no. 100256. pp. 1-15. ISSN 2949-821X https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2949821X25000195?via%3Dihub 10.1016/j.nxener.2025.100256
spellingShingle Ridha, Hussein Mohammed
Hizam, Hashim
Mirjalili, Seyedali
Othman, Mohammad Lutfi
Ya’acob, Mohammad Effendy
Abdul Wahab, Noor Izzri
Ahmadipour, Masoud
A novel prediction of the PV system output current based on integration of optimized hyperparameters of multi-layer neural networks and polynomial regression models
title A novel prediction of the PV system output current based on integration of optimized hyperparameters of multi-layer neural networks and polynomial regression models
title_full A novel prediction of the PV system output current based on integration of optimized hyperparameters of multi-layer neural networks and polynomial regression models
title_fullStr A novel prediction of the PV system output current based on integration of optimized hyperparameters of multi-layer neural networks and polynomial regression models
title_full_unstemmed A novel prediction of the PV system output current based on integration of optimized hyperparameters of multi-layer neural networks and polynomial regression models
title_short A novel prediction of the PV system output current based on integration of optimized hyperparameters of multi-layer neural networks and polynomial regression models
title_sort novel prediction of the pv system output current based on integration of optimized hyperparameters of multi-layer neural networks and polynomial regression models
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/120530/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/120530/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/120530/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/120530/1/120530.pdf