Earthquake prediction model based on geomagnetic field data using automated machine learning

The observation of geomagnetic anomalies appearing prior to earthquakes (EQs) is theorized to be generated by underground seismic processes. However, these pre EQ anomalies can only provide “postdiction” and are still inadequate for practical applications. So, this study was conducted to pursue the...

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Main Authors: Yusof, Khairul Adib, Mashohor, Syamsiah, Abdullah, Mardina, Amiruddin, Mohd, Rahman, Abd, Abdul Hamid, Nurul Shazana, Qaedi, Kasyful, Matori, Khamirul Amin, Hayakawa, Masashi
Format: Article
Published: Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. 2024
Online Access:http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/115444/
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author Yusof, Khairul Adib
Mashohor, Syamsiah
Abdullah, Mardina
Amiruddin, Mohd
Rahman, Abd
Abdul Hamid, Nurul Shazana
Qaedi, Kasyful
Matori, Khamirul Amin
Hayakawa, Masashi
author_facet Yusof, Khairul Adib
Mashohor, Syamsiah
Abdullah, Mardina
Amiruddin, Mohd
Rahman, Abd
Abdul Hamid, Nurul Shazana
Qaedi, Kasyful
Matori, Khamirul Amin
Hayakawa, Masashi
author_sort Yusof, Khairul Adib
building UPM Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description The observation of geomagnetic anomalies appearing prior to earthquakes (EQs) is theorized to be generated by underground seismic processes. However, these pre EQ anomalies can only provide “postdiction” and are still inadequate for practical applications. So, this study was conducted to pursue the long-term quest for real EQ prediction models through the adoption of automated machine learning (AutoML), which automates many laborious routines of model development. In this study, more than 50 years of geomagnetic field data recorded at 131 magnetometer observatories globally were acquired. Several features were extracted from them through wavelet scattering transform (WST). The features were used as the input to model optimization, of which the strategy for automatic algorithm selection and hyperparameter tuning was performed based on the asynchronous successive halving algorithm (ASHA). From the implementation of five classification algorithms, neural network (NN) yielded the best-performing model with an accuracy of 83.29%. The results showed that practical EQ prediction models could be achievable even for complex systems like lithospheric and seismo-induced geomagnetic processes by employing AutoML. © 2024 IEEE.
first_indexed 2025-11-15T14:26:00Z
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institution Universiti Putra Malaysia
institution_category Local University
last_indexed 2025-11-15T14:26:00Z
publishDate 2024
publisher Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc.
recordtype eprints
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spelling upm-1154442025-03-04T07:00:43Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/115444/ Earthquake prediction model based on geomagnetic field data using automated machine learning Yusof, Khairul Adib Mashohor, Syamsiah Abdullah, Mardina Amiruddin, Mohd Rahman, Abd Abdul Hamid, Nurul Shazana Qaedi, Kasyful Matori, Khamirul Amin Hayakawa, Masashi The observation of geomagnetic anomalies appearing prior to earthquakes (EQs) is theorized to be generated by underground seismic processes. However, these pre EQ anomalies can only provide “postdiction” and are still inadequate for practical applications. So, this study was conducted to pursue the long-term quest for real EQ prediction models through the adoption of automated machine learning (AutoML), which automates many laborious routines of model development. In this study, more than 50 years of geomagnetic field data recorded at 131 magnetometer observatories globally were acquired. Several features were extracted from them through wavelet scattering transform (WST). The features were used as the input to model optimization, of which the strategy for automatic algorithm selection and hyperparameter tuning was performed based on the asynchronous successive halving algorithm (ASHA). From the implementation of five classification algorithms, neural network (NN) yielded the best-performing model with an accuracy of 83.29%. The results showed that practical EQ prediction models could be achievable even for complex systems like lithospheric and seismo-induced geomagnetic processes by employing AutoML. © 2024 IEEE. Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc. 2024 Article PeerReviewed Yusof, Khairul Adib and Mashohor, Syamsiah and Abdullah, Mardina and Amiruddin, Mohd and Rahman, Abd and Abdul Hamid, Nurul Shazana and Qaedi, Kasyful and Matori, Khamirul Amin and Hayakawa, Masashi (2024) Earthquake prediction model based on geomagnetic field data using automated machine learning. IEEE Geoscience and Remote Sensing Letters, 21. art. no. 7501405. ISSN 1545-598X; eISSN: 1558-0571 https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/10401225/ 10.1109/lgrs.2024.3354954
spellingShingle Yusof, Khairul Adib
Mashohor, Syamsiah
Abdullah, Mardina
Amiruddin, Mohd
Rahman, Abd
Abdul Hamid, Nurul Shazana
Qaedi, Kasyful
Matori, Khamirul Amin
Hayakawa, Masashi
Earthquake prediction model based on geomagnetic field data using automated machine learning
title Earthquake prediction model based on geomagnetic field data using automated machine learning
title_full Earthquake prediction model based on geomagnetic field data using automated machine learning
title_fullStr Earthquake prediction model based on geomagnetic field data using automated machine learning
title_full_unstemmed Earthquake prediction model based on geomagnetic field data using automated machine learning
title_short Earthquake prediction model based on geomagnetic field data using automated machine learning
title_sort earthquake prediction model based on geomagnetic field data using automated machine learning
url http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/115444/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/115444/
http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/115444/