Implementation of revised heuristic knowledge in average-based interval for fuzzy time series forecasting of tuberculosis cases in Sabah
Fuzzy time series forecasting is one method used to forecast in certain reality problems. The research on fuzzy time series forecasting has been increased due to its capability in dealing with vagueness and uncertainty. In this paper, we are dealing with implementation of revised heuristic knowledge...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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The Science and Information Organization
2023
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| Online Access: | http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/108687/ http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/108687/1/108687.pdf |
| _version_ | 1848865192806449152 |
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| author | Lasaraiya, Suriana Zenian, Suzelawati Mat Hasim, Risman Ashaari, Azmirul |
| author_facet | Lasaraiya, Suriana Zenian, Suzelawati Mat Hasim, Risman Ashaari, Azmirul |
| author_sort | Lasaraiya, Suriana |
| building | UPM Institutional Repository |
| collection | Online Access |
| description | Fuzzy time series forecasting is one method used to forecast in certain reality problems. The research on fuzzy time series forecasting has been increased due to its capability in dealing with vagueness and uncertainty. In this paper, we are dealing with implementation of revised heuristic knowledge to basic average-based interval and showing that these models forecast better than the basic one. We suggest three different lengths of interval, size 5, size 10 and size 20 to be used in comparing these models of average-based interval, average-based interval with implementation of heuristic knowledge and, average-based interval with implementation of revised heuristic knowledge. These models applied to forecast the number of tuberculosis cases reported monthly in Sabah starting from January 2012 until December 2019. A few numerical examples are shown as well. The performances of evaluations are shown by comparison on the values obtained by Mean Square error (MSE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). |
| first_indexed | 2025-11-15T14:00:48Z |
| format | Article |
| id | upm-108687 |
| institution | Universiti Putra Malaysia |
| institution_category | Local University |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2025-11-15T14:00:48Z |
| publishDate | 2023 |
| publisher | The Science and Information Organization |
| recordtype | eprints |
| repository_type | Digital Repository |
| spelling | upm-1086872024-10-21T02:03:32Z http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/108687/ Implementation of revised heuristic knowledge in average-based interval for fuzzy time series forecasting of tuberculosis cases in Sabah Lasaraiya, Suriana Zenian, Suzelawati Mat Hasim, Risman Ashaari, Azmirul Fuzzy time series forecasting is one method used to forecast in certain reality problems. The research on fuzzy time series forecasting has been increased due to its capability in dealing with vagueness and uncertainty. In this paper, we are dealing with implementation of revised heuristic knowledge to basic average-based interval and showing that these models forecast better than the basic one. We suggest three different lengths of interval, size 5, size 10 and size 20 to be used in comparing these models of average-based interval, average-based interval with implementation of heuristic knowledge and, average-based interval with implementation of revised heuristic knowledge. These models applied to forecast the number of tuberculosis cases reported monthly in Sabah starting from January 2012 until December 2019. A few numerical examples are shown as well. The performances of evaluations are shown by comparison on the values obtained by Mean Square error (MSE) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE). The Science and Information Organization 2023 Article PeerReviewed text en http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/108687/1/108687.pdf Lasaraiya, Suriana and Zenian, Suzelawati and Mat Hasim, Risman and Ashaari, Azmirul (2023) Implementation of revised heuristic knowledge in average-based interval for fuzzy time series forecasting of tuberculosis cases in Sabah. International Journal of Advanced Computer Science and Applications, 14 (4). pp. 190-196. ISSN 2158-107X; eISSN: 2156-5570 https://thesai.org/Publications/ViewPaper?Volume=14&Issue=4&Code=IJACSA&SerialNo=22 10.14569/ijacsa.2023.0140422 |
| spellingShingle | Lasaraiya, Suriana Zenian, Suzelawati Mat Hasim, Risman Ashaari, Azmirul Implementation of revised heuristic knowledge in average-based interval for fuzzy time series forecasting of tuberculosis cases in Sabah |
| title | Implementation of revised heuristic knowledge in average-based interval for fuzzy time series forecasting of tuberculosis cases in Sabah |
| title_full | Implementation of revised heuristic knowledge in average-based interval for fuzzy time series forecasting of tuberculosis cases in Sabah |
| title_fullStr | Implementation of revised heuristic knowledge in average-based interval for fuzzy time series forecasting of tuberculosis cases in Sabah |
| title_full_unstemmed | Implementation of revised heuristic knowledge in average-based interval for fuzzy time series forecasting of tuberculosis cases in Sabah |
| title_short | Implementation of revised heuristic knowledge in average-based interval for fuzzy time series forecasting of tuberculosis cases in Sabah |
| title_sort | implementation of revised heuristic knowledge in average-based interval for fuzzy time series forecasting of tuberculosis cases in sabah |
| url | http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/108687/ http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/108687/ http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/108687/ http://psasir.upm.edu.my/id/eprint/108687/1/108687.pdf |