Revival of the twin deficits in Asian crisis-affected countries

This paper revisits the twin deficits argument in the Asian crisis-affected countries. We also include data from the 1997 crisis to examine the disparities in the empirical regularities governing the two deficits in these countries. Empirical results suggest that causality runs from budget deficit t...

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Main Authors: Lau, Evan, Shazali Abu, Mansor, Puah, Chin-Hong
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: M.E. Sharpe Inc. 2010
Subjects:
Online Access:http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/7235/
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/7235/1/Revival%20of%20the%20Twin%20Deficits%20in%20Asian%20Crisis%20affected%20countries%2810%25%29.pdf
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author Lau, Evan
Shazali Abu, Mansor
Puah, Chin-Hong
author_facet Lau, Evan
Shazali Abu, Mansor
Puah, Chin-Hong
author_sort Lau, Evan
building UNIMAS Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description This paper revisits the twin deficits argument in the Asian crisis-affected countries. We also include data from the 1997 crisis to examine the disparities in the empirical regularities governing the two deficits in these countries. Empirical results suggest that causality runs from budget deficit to current account deficit for Malaysia, the Philippines (pre-crisis) and Thailand, which fits well with the Keynesian view. For Indonesia and Korea the causality runs in the opposite direction while a bi-directional causality exists for the Philippines in the post-crisis era. As these countries are at a crossroad in the aftermath of the 1997 crisis, managing these deficits are indeed important policy options in promoting macroeconomic stability and sustainability in the region.
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spelling unimas-72352016-04-14T07:02:30Z http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/7235/ Revival of the twin deficits in Asian crisis-affected countries Lau, Evan Shazali Abu, Mansor Puah, Chin-Hong HC Economic History and Conditions JZ International relations This paper revisits the twin deficits argument in the Asian crisis-affected countries. We also include data from the 1997 crisis to examine the disparities in the empirical regularities governing the two deficits in these countries. Empirical results suggest that causality runs from budget deficit to current account deficit for Malaysia, the Philippines (pre-crisis) and Thailand, which fits well with the Keynesian view. For Indonesia and Korea the causality runs in the opposite direction while a bi-directional causality exists for the Philippines in the post-crisis era. As these countries are at a crossroad in the aftermath of the 1997 crisis, managing these deficits are indeed important policy options in promoting macroeconomic stability and sustainability in the region. M.E. Sharpe Inc. 2010 Article PeerReviewed text en http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/7235/1/Revival%20of%20the%20Twin%20Deficits%20in%20Asian%20Crisis%20affected%20countries%2810%25%29.pdf Lau, Evan and Shazali Abu, Mansor and Puah, Chin-Hong (2010) Revival of the twin deficits in Asian crisis-affected countries. Economic Issues, 15 (1). pp. 29-53. ISSN 1363-7029 http://www.economicissues.org.uk/Files/110Lau.pdf
spellingShingle HC Economic History and Conditions
JZ International relations
Lau, Evan
Shazali Abu, Mansor
Puah, Chin-Hong
Revival of the twin deficits in Asian crisis-affected countries
title Revival of the twin deficits in Asian crisis-affected countries
title_full Revival of the twin deficits in Asian crisis-affected countries
title_fullStr Revival of the twin deficits in Asian crisis-affected countries
title_full_unstemmed Revival of the twin deficits in Asian crisis-affected countries
title_short Revival of the twin deficits in Asian crisis-affected countries
title_sort revival of the twin deficits in asian crisis-affected countries
topic HC Economic History and Conditions
JZ International relations
url http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/7235/
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/7235/
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/7235/1/Revival%20of%20the%20Twin%20Deficits%20in%20Asian%20Crisis%20affected%20countries%2810%25%29.pdf