Monetary aggregation and the p-star model of inflation in Indonesia

This study aims to examine an empirical evaluation of the Divisia monetary aggregates that is relative to the traditional simple sum aggregates in Indonesia from 1990:1 to 2005:4. The performance of these aggregates wastested using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root...

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Main Author: Sangeetha Premilla, Dayani.
Format: Final Year Project Report / IMRAD
Language:English
Published: UNIMAS 2009
Subjects:
Online Access:http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/7075/
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/7075/4/Sangeetha%28fulltext%29.pdf
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author Sangeetha Premilla, Dayani.
author_facet Sangeetha Premilla, Dayani.
author_sort Sangeetha Premilla, Dayani.
building UNIMAS Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description This study aims to examine an empirical evaluation of the Divisia monetary aggregates that is relative to the traditional simple sum aggregates in Indonesia from 1990:1 to 2005:4. The performance of these aggregates wastested using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test, Johansen cointegration test and error-correction model. In addition, the information provided by the monetary aggregates as predictors of inflation was examined. Here, the P-Star model of inflation was adapted to examine the performance of the D ivisia monetary aggregates as an information provider in predicting future inflation against the traditional simple sum. The macroeconomic elements that influence inflation in this study includereal GDP, price, interest rate, currency in circulation and money. The results indicate that the Divisia M2 acts as a superior predictor compared to the other monetary aggregates that were used in predicting the future inflation in Indonesia.
first_indexed 2025-11-15T06:17:37Z
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institution Universiti Malaysia Sarawak
institution_category Local University
language English
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publishDate 2009
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spelling unimas-70752024-02-16T07:45:42Z http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/7075/ Monetary aggregation and the p-star model of inflation in Indonesia Sangeetha Premilla, Dayani. HB Economic Theory This study aims to examine an empirical evaluation of the Divisia monetary aggregates that is relative to the traditional simple sum aggregates in Indonesia from 1990:1 to 2005:4. The performance of these aggregates wastested using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test, Johansen cointegration test and error-correction model. In addition, the information provided by the monetary aggregates as predictors of inflation was examined. Here, the P-Star model of inflation was adapted to examine the performance of the D ivisia monetary aggregates as an information provider in predicting future inflation against the traditional simple sum. The macroeconomic elements that influence inflation in this study includereal GDP, price, interest rate, currency in circulation and money. The results indicate that the Divisia M2 acts as a superior predictor compared to the other monetary aggregates that were used in predicting the future inflation in Indonesia. UNIMAS 2009 Final Year Project Report / IMRAD NonPeerReviewed text en http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/7075/4/Sangeetha%28fulltext%29.pdf Sangeetha Premilla, Dayani. (2009) Monetary aggregation and the p-star model of inflation in Indonesia. [Final Year Project Report / IMRAD] (Unpublished)
spellingShingle HB Economic Theory
Sangeetha Premilla, Dayani.
Monetary aggregation and the p-star model of inflation in Indonesia
title Monetary aggregation and the p-star model of inflation in Indonesia
title_full Monetary aggregation and the p-star model of inflation in Indonesia
title_fullStr Monetary aggregation and the p-star model of inflation in Indonesia
title_full_unstemmed Monetary aggregation and the p-star model of inflation in Indonesia
title_short Monetary aggregation and the p-star model of inflation in Indonesia
title_sort monetary aggregation and the p-star model of inflation in indonesia
topic HB Economic Theory
url http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/7075/
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/7075/4/Sangeetha%28fulltext%29.pdf