Predictive powers of divisia monetary aggregates and simple sum money on inflation: comparative evidence from Malaysia

The weaknesses of simple sum monetary aggregates in both aggregation theory and linkages to macroeconomic variables ultimately led to monetary targeting being replaced by other methods such as inflation targeting and interest rate targeting as monetary policy tools. H...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Lim, Kok Shyong.
Format: Final Year Project Report / IMRAD
Language:English
English
Published: Universiti Malaysia Sarawak (UNIMAS) 2007
Subjects:
Online Access:http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/6466/
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/6466/1/Lim.pdf
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/6466/4/Lim%20Kok%20Shyong%20ft.pdf
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author Lim, Kok Shyong.
author_facet Lim, Kok Shyong.
author_sort Lim, Kok Shyong.
building UNIMAS Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description The weaknesses of simple sum monetary aggregates in both aggregation theory and linkages to macroeconomic variables ultimately led to monetary targeting being replaced by other methods such as inflation targeting and interest rate targeting as monetary policy tools. However, innovation in monetary aggregation theory led to the introduction of Divisia monetary aggregates as analternative to simple sum money.By using a P-Star model framework in the context of Malaysia, this study investigates the performance of Divisia monetary aggregates in predicting inflation arymovements against their simple sum counterparts. The results showed that Divisia M1 is superior to other monetary aggregates used in this study to forecast future inflationary movements in Malaysia. In addition, the P-Star model of inflation is shown to be a valid empirical model to predict inflation for Malaysia.
first_indexed 2025-11-15T06:15:33Z
format Final Year Project Report / IMRAD
id unimas-6466
institution Universiti Malaysia Sarawak
institution_category Local University
language English
English
last_indexed 2025-11-15T06:15:33Z
publishDate 2007
publisher Universiti Malaysia Sarawak (UNIMAS)
recordtype eprints
repository_type Digital Repository
spelling unimas-64662024-01-02T04:44:35Z http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/6466/ Predictive powers of divisia monetary aggregates and simple sum money on inflation: comparative evidence from Malaysia Lim, Kok Shyong. HG Finance The weaknesses of simple sum monetary aggregates in both aggregation theory and linkages to macroeconomic variables ultimately led to monetary targeting being replaced by other methods such as inflation targeting and interest rate targeting as monetary policy tools. However, innovation in monetary aggregation theory led to the introduction of Divisia monetary aggregates as analternative to simple sum money.By using a P-Star model framework in the context of Malaysia, this study investigates the performance of Divisia monetary aggregates in predicting inflation arymovements against their simple sum counterparts. The results showed that Divisia M1 is superior to other monetary aggregates used in this study to forecast future inflationary movements in Malaysia. In addition, the P-Star model of inflation is shown to be a valid empirical model to predict inflation for Malaysia. Universiti Malaysia Sarawak (UNIMAS) 2007 Final Year Project Report / IMRAD NonPeerReviewed text en http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/6466/1/Lim.pdf text en http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/6466/4/Lim%20Kok%20Shyong%20ft.pdf Lim, Kok Shyong. (2007) Predictive powers of divisia monetary aggregates and simple sum money on inflation: comparative evidence from Malaysia. [Final Year Project Report / IMRAD] (Unpublished)
spellingShingle HG Finance
Lim, Kok Shyong.
Predictive powers of divisia monetary aggregates and simple sum money on inflation: comparative evidence from Malaysia
title Predictive powers of divisia monetary aggregates and simple sum money on inflation: comparative evidence from Malaysia
title_full Predictive powers of divisia monetary aggregates and simple sum money on inflation: comparative evidence from Malaysia
title_fullStr Predictive powers of divisia monetary aggregates and simple sum money on inflation: comparative evidence from Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed Predictive powers of divisia monetary aggregates and simple sum money on inflation: comparative evidence from Malaysia
title_short Predictive powers of divisia monetary aggregates and simple sum money on inflation: comparative evidence from Malaysia
title_sort predictive powers of divisia monetary aggregates and simple sum money on inflation: comparative evidence from malaysia
topic HG Finance
url http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/6466/
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/6466/1/Lim.pdf
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/6466/4/Lim%20Kok%20Shyong%20ft.pdf