Early warning indicator of economic vulnerability
The initiative to capture the information content behind the rise and fall of the business cycle has popularized the study of leading indicators. Many of the foreign experiences shared by economically advanced countries reveal that the leading indicator approach works well as a short-term forecastin...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Working Paper |
| Language: | English |
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Universiti Malaysia Sarawak, (UNIMAS)
2012
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| Online Access: | http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/3078/ http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/3078/1/Early%2Bwarning%2Bindicator%2Bof%2Beconomic%2Bvulnerability%20%281%29%20%281%29.pdf |
| _version_ | 1848835138888138752 |
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| author | Wong, Shirly Siew-Ling Puah, Chin-Hong Shazali, Abu Mansor Liew, Venus Khim-Sen |
| author_facet | Wong, Shirly Siew-Ling Puah, Chin-Hong Shazali, Abu Mansor Liew, Venus Khim-Sen |
| author_sort | Wong, Shirly Siew-Ling |
| building | UNIMAS Institutional Repository |
| collection | Online Access |
| description | The initiative to capture the information content behind the rise and fall of the business cycle has popularized the study of leading indicators. Many of the foreign experiences shared by economically advanced countries reveal that the leading indicator approach works well as a short-term forecasting tool. Thus, exploring an indicator-based forecasting tool for business cycle analysis and economic risk monitoring would provide insight into the Malaysian economy as well as that of other emerging countries. By extending the ideology of indicator construction from the US National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), the present study demonstrated the strong potential of the leading indicator approach to be a good gauge of the business cycle movement in addition to being a practical and functional early warning indicator for economic vulnerability prediction. |
| first_indexed | 2025-11-15T06:03:07Z |
| format | Working Paper |
| id | unimas-3078 |
| institution | Universiti Malaysia Sarawak |
| institution_category | Local University |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2025-11-15T06:03:07Z |
| publishDate | 2012 |
| publisher | Universiti Malaysia Sarawak, (UNIMAS) |
| recordtype | eprints |
| repository_type | Digital Repository |
| spelling | unimas-30782021-08-04T03:10:56Z http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/3078/ Early warning indicator of economic vulnerability Wong, Shirly Siew-Ling Puah, Chin-Hong Shazali, Abu Mansor Liew, Venus Khim-Sen HB Economic Theory The initiative to capture the information content behind the rise and fall of the business cycle has popularized the study of leading indicators. Many of the foreign experiences shared by economically advanced countries reveal that the leading indicator approach works well as a short-term forecasting tool. Thus, exploring an indicator-based forecasting tool for business cycle analysis and economic risk monitoring would provide insight into the Malaysian economy as well as that of other emerging countries. By extending the ideology of indicator construction from the US National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), the present study demonstrated the strong potential of the leading indicator approach to be a good gauge of the business cycle movement in addition to being a practical and functional early warning indicator for economic vulnerability prediction. Universiti Malaysia Sarawak, (UNIMAS) 2012 Working Paper NonPeerReviewed text en http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/3078/1/Early%2Bwarning%2Bindicator%2Bof%2Beconomic%2Bvulnerability%20%281%29%20%281%29.pdf Wong, Shirly Siew-Ling and Puah, Chin-Hong and Shazali, Abu Mansor and Liew, Venus Khim-Sen (2012) Early warning indicator of economic vulnerability. [Working Paper] |
| spellingShingle | HB Economic Theory Wong, Shirly Siew-Ling Puah, Chin-Hong Shazali, Abu Mansor Liew, Venus Khim-Sen Early warning indicator of economic vulnerability |
| title | Early warning indicator of economic vulnerability |
| title_full | Early warning indicator of economic vulnerability |
| title_fullStr | Early warning indicator of economic vulnerability |
| title_full_unstemmed | Early warning indicator of economic vulnerability |
| title_short | Early warning indicator of economic vulnerability |
| title_sort | early warning indicator of economic vulnerability |
| topic | HB Economic Theory |
| url | http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/3078/ http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/3078/1/Early%2Bwarning%2Bindicator%2Bof%2Beconomic%2Bvulnerability%20%281%29%20%281%29.pdf |