The inadequacy of linear autoregressive model for real exchange rates: empirical evidence from Asian economies

Utilizing the formal linearity test of Luukkonen, Saikkonen and Tera¨ svirta (Biometrika, 75, 491–99, 1998) as diagnostic tool, the empirical finding suggests that the linear autoregressive (AR) model is inadequate in describing the real exchange rates behaviour of 11 Asian economies. It is noted th...

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Main Authors: Liew, Venus Khim-Sen, Chong, Terrence Tai-Leung, Lim, Kian-Ping
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2003
Subjects:
Online Access:http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/18638/
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/18638/7/The%20inadequacy%20of%20linear%20autoregressive%20model%20%28abstract%29.pdf
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author Liew, Venus Khim-Sen
Chong, Terrence Tai-Leung
Lim, Kian-Ping
author_facet Liew, Venus Khim-Sen
Chong, Terrence Tai-Leung
Lim, Kian-Ping
author_sort Liew, Venus Khim-Sen
building UNIMAS Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description Utilizing the formal linearity test of Luukkonen, Saikkonen and Tera¨ svirta (Biometrika, 75, 491–99, 1998) as diagnostic tool, the empirical finding suggests that the linear autoregressive (AR) model is inadequate in describing the real exchange rates behaviour of 11 Asian economies. It is noted that the conventional battery of diagnostic tests is capable of identifying the inadequacy of the linear model in only three of these series. Moreover, the linearity nature of this behaviour has been formally rejected in favour of the non-linear smooth transition autoregressive (STAR) model. The finding of non-linearity in the data generating process of these real exchange rates warrants that the use of linear framework in empirical modelling and statistical testing procedures in the field of exchange rates may lead to an inappropriate policy conclusions.
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spelling unimas-186382017-11-17T07:49:20Z http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/18638/ The inadequacy of linear autoregressive model for real exchange rates: empirical evidence from Asian economies Liew, Venus Khim-Sen Chong, Terrence Tai-Leung Lim, Kian-Ping HB Economic Theory Utilizing the formal linearity test of Luukkonen, Saikkonen and Tera¨ svirta (Biometrika, 75, 491–99, 1998) as diagnostic tool, the empirical finding suggests that the linear autoregressive (AR) model is inadequate in describing the real exchange rates behaviour of 11 Asian economies. It is noted that the conventional battery of diagnostic tests is capable of identifying the inadequacy of the linear model in only three of these series. Moreover, the linearity nature of this behaviour has been formally rejected in favour of the non-linear smooth transition autoregressive (STAR) model. The finding of non-linearity in the data generating process of these real exchange rates warrants that the use of linear framework in empirical modelling and statistical testing procedures in the field of exchange rates may lead to an inappropriate policy conclusions. Taylor & Francis Group 2003 Article PeerReviewed text en http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/18638/7/The%20inadequacy%20of%20linear%20autoregressive%20model%20%28abstract%29.pdf Liew, Venus Khim-Sen and Chong, Terrence Tai-Leung and Lim, Kian-Ping (2003) The inadequacy of linear autoregressive model for real exchange rates: empirical evidence from Asian economies. Applied Economics, 35 (12). pp. 1387-1392. ISSN 0003-6846 http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/0003684032000129750 10.1080/0003684032000129750
spellingShingle HB Economic Theory
Liew, Venus Khim-Sen
Chong, Terrence Tai-Leung
Lim, Kian-Ping
The inadequacy of linear autoregressive model for real exchange rates: empirical evidence from Asian economies
title The inadequacy of linear autoregressive model for real exchange rates: empirical evidence from Asian economies
title_full The inadequacy of linear autoregressive model for real exchange rates: empirical evidence from Asian economies
title_fullStr The inadequacy of linear autoregressive model for real exchange rates: empirical evidence from Asian economies
title_full_unstemmed The inadequacy of linear autoregressive model for real exchange rates: empirical evidence from Asian economies
title_short The inadequacy of linear autoregressive model for real exchange rates: empirical evidence from Asian economies
title_sort inadequacy of linear autoregressive model for real exchange rates: empirical evidence from asian economies
topic HB Economic Theory
url http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/18638/
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/18638/
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/18638/
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/18638/7/The%20inadequacy%20of%20linear%20autoregressive%20model%20%28abstract%29.pdf