Export-led Growth Hypothesis in Malaysia: An Application of Two-Stage Least Square Technique

This paper aims to re-estimate the robustness of the relationship between export and economic growth in the Malaysian economy from 1959 to 2000. Combining both production function and international trade and development theories, a six variable (economic growth, exports, imports of consumption goods...

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Main Authors: Choong, Chee-Keong, Zulkornain, Yusop, Liew, Venus Khim-Sen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EconWPA 2003
Subjects:
Online Access:http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/18592/
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/18592/7/Export-led%20Growth%20Hypothesis%20in%20Malaysia%20an%20application%20of%20two%20stage%20%28abstract0.pdf
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author Choong, Chee-Keong
Zulkornain, Yusop
Liew, Venus Khim-Sen
author_facet Choong, Chee-Keong
Zulkornain, Yusop
Liew, Venus Khim-Sen
author_sort Choong, Chee-Keong
building UNIMAS Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description This paper aims to re-estimate the robustness of the relationship between export and economic growth in the Malaysian economy from 1959 to 2000. Combining both production function and international trade and development theories, a six variable (economic growth, exports, imports of consumption goods, capital formation, labour force and exchange rate) vector autoregression (VAR) model has been developed. Multivariate cointegration results revealed that there exists a single cointegrating vector in the estimated system. This means that these variables are linked together in achieving their steady state equilibrium in the long run. Resulting from the endogeneity problem of the variables involved, two-stage least squares was applied to estimate the short run causality model. From our error correction model, we reported that all variables, except exchange rate Granger-cause economic growth in the short run at 5 percent significance level. This implies that export-led hypothesis growth is valid in the Malaysian economy in both short- and long-run. Besides, our results suggest that the growth rate of capital formation and imports have positive impacts on economic growth, while labour has a negative impact in the short-term.
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institution Universiti Malaysia Sarawak
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publishDate 2003
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spelling unimas-185922017-11-27T06:59:49Z http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/18592/ Export-led Growth Hypothesis in Malaysia: An Application of Two-Stage Least Square Technique Choong, Chee-Keong Zulkornain, Yusop Liew, Venus Khim-Sen HB Economic Theory This paper aims to re-estimate the robustness of the relationship between export and economic growth in the Malaysian economy from 1959 to 2000. Combining both production function and international trade and development theories, a six variable (economic growth, exports, imports of consumption goods, capital formation, labour force and exchange rate) vector autoregression (VAR) model has been developed. Multivariate cointegration results revealed that there exists a single cointegrating vector in the estimated system. This means that these variables are linked together in achieving their steady state equilibrium in the long run. Resulting from the endogeneity problem of the variables involved, two-stage least squares was applied to estimate the short run causality model. From our error correction model, we reported that all variables, except exchange rate Granger-cause economic growth in the short run at 5 percent significance level. This implies that export-led hypothesis growth is valid in the Malaysian economy in both short- and long-run. Besides, our results suggest that the growth rate of capital formation and imports have positive impacts on economic growth, while labour has a negative impact in the short-term. EconWPA 2003 Article PeerReviewed text en http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/18592/7/Export-led%20Growth%20Hypothesis%20in%20Malaysia%20an%20application%20of%20two%20stage%20%28abstract0.pdf Choong, Chee-Keong and Zulkornain, Yusop and Liew, Venus Khim-Sen (2003) Export-led Growth Hypothesis in Malaysia: An Application of Two-Stage Least Square Technique. International finance, 3. pp. 1-21. ISSN 2285-6803 https://econpapers.repec.org/paper/wpawuwpif/0308002.htm
spellingShingle HB Economic Theory
Choong, Chee-Keong
Zulkornain, Yusop
Liew, Venus Khim-Sen
Export-led Growth Hypothesis in Malaysia: An Application of Two-Stage Least Square Technique
title Export-led Growth Hypothesis in Malaysia: An Application of Two-Stage Least Square Technique
title_full Export-led Growth Hypothesis in Malaysia: An Application of Two-Stage Least Square Technique
title_fullStr Export-led Growth Hypothesis in Malaysia: An Application of Two-Stage Least Square Technique
title_full_unstemmed Export-led Growth Hypothesis in Malaysia: An Application of Two-Stage Least Square Technique
title_short Export-led Growth Hypothesis in Malaysia: An Application of Two-Stage Least Square Technique
title_sort export-led growth hypothesis in malaysia: an application of two-stage least square technique
topic HB Economic Theory
url http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/18592/
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/18592/
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/18592/7/Export-led%20Growth%20Hypothesis%20in%20Malaysia%20an%20application%20of%20two%20stage%20%28abstract0.pdf