Estimation of the Public Debt Threshold of Malaysia
Public debt becomes an essential global issue where a country has a tendency to seek alternative to borrow abroad in order to cushion any severe negative impact due to economic shocks. This is due to the assumption that a country can run into deficit in current year with the expectation that it w...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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School of Social Sciences, USM
2016
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| Online Access: | http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/17901/ http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/17901/1/Threshold%20of%20Malaysia%20%28abstract%29.pdf |
| _version_ | 1848838392173821952 |
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| author | Kueh, Jerome Venus, Khim-Sen Liew Yong, Sze Wei |
| author_facet | Kueh, Jerome Venus, Khim-Sen Liew Yong, Sze Wei |
| author_sort | Kueh, Jerome |
| building | UNIMAS Institutional Repository |
| collection | Online Access |
| description | Public debt becomes an essential global issue where a country has a tendency to seek
alternative to borrow abroad in order to cushion any severe negative impact due to economic
shocks. This is due to the assumption that a country can run into deficit in current year with
the expectation that it will turn into surplus in the future. Malaysia as one of the emerging
economies experienced decreasing trend of public debt of GDP in the 1990s, but in the 2000s,
the scenario has changed and settled at 55% of GDP in 2015. This study adopts Threshold
Regression method to determine the public debt threshold from 1991:Q1-2014:Q4 and to
estimate the impact of the different debt levels on the economic growth in the long-run. There
is a positive impact of debt on growth when public debt is below 41% of GDP and marginal
impact when the debt level between 41%-53% of GDP. However, there is a detrimental
impact on growth when public debt exceeds 53% of GDP. Therefore, policy developed
should address in managing optimal level of public debt position and the quality of the debt. |
| first_indexed | 2025-11-15T06:54:49Z |
| format | Article |
| id | unimas-17901 |
| institution | Universiti Malaysia Sarawak |
| institution_category | Local University |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2025-11-15T06:54:49Z |
| publishDate | 2016 |
| publisher | School of Social Sciences, USM |
| recordtype | eprints |
| repository_type | Digital Repository |
| spelling | unimas-179012017-10-04T07:55:57Z http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/17901/ Estimation of the Public Debt Threshold of Malaysia Kueh, Jerome Venus, Khim-Sen Liew Yong, Sze Wei H Social Sciences (General) Public debt becomes an essential global issue where a country has a tendency to seek alternative to borrow abroad in order to cushion any severe negative impact due to economic shocks. This is due to the assumption that a country can run into deficit in current year with the expectation that it will turn into surplus in the future. Malaysia as one of the emerging economies experienced decreasing trend of public debt of GDP in the 1990s, but in the 2000s, the scenario has changed and settled at 55% of GDP in 2015. This study adopts Threshold Regression method to determine the public debt threshold from 1991:Q1-2014:Q4 and to estimate the impact of the different debt levels on the economic growth in the long-run. There is a positive impact of debt on growth when public debt is below 41% of GDP and marginal impact when the debt level between 41%-53% of GDP. However, there is a detrimental impact on growth when public debt exceeds 53% of GDP. Therefore, policy developed should address in managing optimal level of public debt position and the quality of the debt. School of Social Sciences, USM 2016 Article PeerReviewed text en http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/17901/1/Threshold%20of%20Malaysia%20%28abstract%29.pdf Kueh, Jerome and Venus, Khim-Sen Liew and Yong, Sze Wei (2016) Estimation of the Public Debt Threshold of Malaysia. Proceedings of International Conference on Contemporary Economic Issues 2016. ISSN ISBN 978-967-11473-6-8 |
| spellingShingle | H Social Sciences (General) Kueh, Jerome Venus, Khim-Sen Liew Yong, Sze Wei Estimation of the Public Debt Threshold of Malaysia |
| title | Estimation of the Public Debt Threshold of Malaysia |
| title_full | Estimation of the Public Debt Threshold of Malaysia |
| title_fullStr | Estimation of the Public Debt Threshold of Malaysia |
| title_full_unstemmed | Estimation of the Public Debt Threshold of Malaysia |
| title_short | Estimation of the Public Debt Threshold of Malaysia |
| title_sort | estimation of the public debt threshold of malaysia |
| topic | H Social Sciences (General) |
| url | http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/17901/ http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/17901/1/Threshold%20of%20Malaysia%20%28abstract%29.pdf |