Sustainability of External Imbalances: The Case of Malaysia

The understanding of the sustainable external imbalances over the 1961-2001 for Malaysia is presented in this paper. The empirical results clearly show that inflows and outflows share a common stochastic trend prior to the 1997 Asian crisis while in the post-crisis period the current account surplus...

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Main Authors: Evan, Lau, Ahmad Zubaidi, Baharumshah
Format: Article
Published: World Scientific 2003
Subjects:
Online Access:http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/17826/
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author Evan, Lau
Ahmad Zubaidi, Baharumshah
author_facet Evan, Lau
Ahmad Zubaidi, Baharumshah
author_sort Evan, Lau
building UNIMAS Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description The understanding of the sustainable external imbalances over the 1961-2001 for Malaysia is presented in this paper. The empirical results clearly show that inflows and outflows share a common stochastic trend prior to the 1997 Asian crisis while in the post-crisis period the current account surpluses are on an unsustainable path. Our findings highlight the important role of imports (mainly intermediate inputs) in exports. For an economy that depends on export promotion for its growth process, imports are important in restoring external imbalances to its sustainable steady state path. As illustrated by the recent crisis, the large depreciation of the ringgit contributed to a decline in imports and for an economy that is highly dependent on imported capital, this means an economic slowdown.
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institution Universiti Malaysia Sarawak
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publishDate 2003
publisher World Scientific
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spelling unimas-178262017-09-28T06:02:52Z http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/17826/ Sustainability of External Imbalances: The Case of Malaysia Evan, Lau Ahmad Zubaidi, Baharumshah HB Economic Theory The understanding of the sustainable external imbalances over the 1961-2001 for Malaysia is presented in this paper. The empirical results clearly show that inflows and outflows share a common stochastic trend prior to the 1997 Asian crisis while in the post-crisis period the current account surpluses are on an unsustainable path. Our findings highlight the important role of imports (mainly intermediate inputs) in exports. For an economy that depends on export promotion for its growth process, imports are important in restoring external imbalances to its sustainable steady state path. As illustrated by the recent crisis, the large depreciation of the ringgit contributed to a decline in imports and for an economy that is highly dependent on imported capital, this means an economic slowdown. World Scientific 2003 Article PeerReviewed Evan, Lau and Ahmad Zubaidi, Baharumshah (2003) Sustainability of External Imbalances: The Case of Malaysia. The Singapore Economic Review, 48 (1). ISSN 1793-6837 http://www.worldscientific.com/doi/abs/10.1142/S0217590803000591 doi : 10.1142/S0217590803000591
spellingShingle HB Economic Theory
Evan, Lau
Ahmad Zubaidi, Baharumshah
Sustainability of External Imbalances: The Case of Malaysia
title Sustainability of External Imbalances: The Case of Malaysia
title_full Sustainability of External Imbalances: The Case of Malaysia
title_fullStr Sustainability of External Imbalances: The Case of Malaysia
title_full_unstemmed Sustainability of External Imbalances: The Case of Malaysia
title_short Sustainability of External Imbalances: The Case of Malaysia
title_sort sustainability of external imbalances: the case of malaysia
topic HB Economic Theory
url http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/17826/
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/17826/
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/17826/