The behavior of external debt in Asian countries: evidence based on panel unit root test

This article investigates the mean-reverting behavior of the external debt ratio based on a clustered of 19 Asian countries from 1981 to 2010. For this purpose, we use a government’s intertemporal budget constraint (GIBC) model popularized by Hamilton and Flavin (1986). Our conclusions were drawn f...

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Main Authors: Evan, Lau, Ahmad Zubaidi, Baharumshah, Siew-Voon, Soon
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis 2013
Subjects:
Online Access:http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/15722/
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/15722/1/The%20behavior%20of%20external%20debt%20in%20%28abstrak%29.pdf
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author Evan, Lau
Ahmad Zubaidi, Baharumshah
Siew-Voon, Soon
author_facet Evan, Lau
Ahmad Zubaidi, Baharumshah
Siew-Voon, Soon
author_sort Evan, Lau
building UNIMAS Institutional Repository
collection Online Access
description This article investigates the mean-reverting behavior of the external debt ratio based on a clustered of 19 Asian countries from 1981 to 2010. For this purpose, we use a government’s intertemporal budget constraint (GIBC) model popularized by Hamilton and Flavin (1986). Our conclusions were drawn from panel data based tests, including the newly developed test that accounts for both cross-sectional dependency and structural breaks. Two major findings are noteworthy; first majority debt ratios in the Asian countries are affected by structural breaks. Second, we find unit root tests that do not accommodate breaks are less likely to detect mean reversion in the debt ratios. In all, our results indicate debt sustainability is a general characteristic of all the Asian countries.
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spelling unimas-157222023-08-07T02:08:08Z http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/15722/ The behavior of external debt in Asian countries: evidence based on panel unit root test Evan, Lau Ahmad Zubaidi, Baharumshah Siew-Voon, Soon H Social Sciences (General) HG Finance This article investigates the mean-reverting behavior of the external debt ratio based on a clustered of 19 Asian countries from 1981 to 2010. For this purpose, we use a government’s intertemporal budget constraint (GIBC) model popularized by Hamilton and Flavin (1986). Our conclusions were drawn from panel data based tests, including the newly developed test that accounts for both cross-sectional dependency and structural breaks. Two major findings are noteworthy; first majority debt ratios in the Asian countries are affected by structural breaks. Second, we find unit root tests that do not accommodate breaks are less likely to detect mean reversion in the debt ratios. In all, our results indicate debt sustainability is a general characteristic of all the Asian countries. Taylor & Francis 2013 Article PeerReviewed text en http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/15722/1/The%20behavior%20of%20external%20debt%20in%20%28abstrak%29.pdf Evan, Lau and Ahmad Zubaidi, Baharumshah and Siew-Voon, Soon (2013) The behavior of external debt in Asian countries: evidence based on panel unit root test. Journal of Business Economics and Management, 14 (1). pp. 5377-5394. ISSN 2029-4433 http://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.3846/16111699.2012.720589?src=recsys doi:10.3846/16111699.2012.720589
spellingShingle H Social Sciences (General)
HG Finance
Evan, Lau
Ahmad Zubaidi, Baharumshah
Siew-Voon, Soon
The behavior of external debt in Asian countries: evidence based on panel unit root test
title The behavior of external debt in Asian countries: evidence based on panel unit root test
title_full The behavior of external debt in Asian countries: evidence based on panel unit root test
title_fullStr The behavior of external debt in Asian countries: evidence based on panel unit root test
title_full_unstemmed The behavior of external debt in Asian countries: evidence based on panel unit root test
title_short The behavior of external debt in Asian countries: evidence based on panel unit root test
title_sort behavior of external debt in asian countries: evidence based on panel unit root test
topic H Social Sciences (General)
HG Finance
url http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/15722/
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/15722/
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/15722/
http://ir.unimas.my/id/eprint/15722/1/The%20behavior%20of%20external%20debt%20in%20%28abstrak%29.pdf